Cleveland @ Jacksonville props

The weather forecast calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing effectiveness. The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has surrendered the lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (65.4%) to tight ends since the start of last season (65.4%).

The weather forecast calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency. Opposing QBs have averaged 31.1 pass attempts per game versus the Cleveland Browns defense since the start of last season: 6th-fewest in the league. The Cleveland Browns pass defense has given up the lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (54%) versus wideouts since the start of last season (54.0%). The Browns safeties project as the 5th-best group of safeties in football since the start of last season in covering receivers.

At the present time, the 8th-most pass-heavy offense in football (62.5% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Jaguars. The predictive model expects this game to see the 3rd-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 133.2 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics. Travis Etienne has run a route on 58.6% of his offense's dropbacks since the start of last season, putting him in the 95th percentile among RBs. Our trusted projections expect Travis Etienne to notch 4.7 targets in this week's game, on balance, placing him in the 95th percentile among RBs. Travis Etienne checks in as one of the top pass-catching RBs since the start of last season, averaging a fantastic 3.4 adjusted receptions per game while ranking in the 93rd percentile.

The weather forecast calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing effectiveness. Amari Cooper comes in as one of the most unreliable receivers in the NFL, hauling in a mere 57.5% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, ranking in the 17th percentile among WRs

The weather forecast calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.

At the present time, the 8th-most pass-heavy offense in football (62.5% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Jaguars. The predictive model expects this game to see the 3rd-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 132.8 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics. The model projects Evan Engram to accrue 7.3 targets this week, on balance, ranking him in the 97th percentile among TEs. Evan Engram has been a key part of his team's pass game, earning a Target Share of 23.6% since the start of last season, which ranks in the 99th percentile when it comes to tight ends. Evan Engram rates as one of the best pass-catching tight ends since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 6.4 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 100th percentile.