Seattle @ New England props

Rhamondre Stevenson has run a route on 55.8% of his offense's passing plays since the start of last season, placing him in the 90th percentile when it comes to running backs. In this week's game, Rhamondre Stevenson is projected by the model to slot into the 91st percentile when it comes to RBs with 4.2 targets. With an impressive 3.2 adjusted catches per game (92nd percentile) since the start of last season, Rhamondre Stevenson ranks among the top RBs in the pass game in the NFL.

In this game, Zach Charbonnet is projected by the model to slot into the 89th percentile among running backs with 3.9 targets. Since the start of last season, the deficient Patriots pass defense has given up a monstrous 86.9% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing RBs: the 4th-largest rate in the league.

In this game, Hunter Henry is predicted by our trusted projection set to find himself in the 82nd percentile among TEs with 4.4 targets. Hunter Henry's 33.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive usage) ranks him among the best in football: 84th percentile for tight ends. Hunter Henry profiles as one of the leading tight ends in the pass game since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 3.2 adjusted catches per game while ranking in the 80th percentile. The Seahawks pass defense has allowed the 7th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (76.4%) to TEs since the start of last season (76.4%).

The predictive model expects the Seattle Seahawks to be the 10th-least pass-heavy offense in football (adjusted for context) right now with a 59.6% pass rate. The leading projections forecast the Seahawks to run the 6th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.7 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics. The 2nd-lowest number of plays in football have been called by the Seahawks since the start of last season (just 54.5 per game on average). As it relates to protecting the passer (and the ramifications it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Seahawks grades out as the 10th-worst in the league since the start of last season. The New England cornerbacks rank as the 8th-best unit in the NFL since the start of last season in pass coverage.

The leading projections forecast Noah Fant to accrue 4.6 targets in this week's game, on balance, ranking him in the 85th percentile among tight ends. Our trusted projections expect Noah Fant to be a more important option in his offense's air attack in this week's game (14.3% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (8.9% in games he has played).