Carolina @ Philadelphia props

An extreme rushing game script is implied by the Eagles being a huge 14-point favorite in this week's contest. Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Philadelphia Eagles to pass on 42.9% of their chances: the lowest frequency among all teams this week.

At the moment, the 7th-least pass-oriented offense in the NFL (58.2% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Panthers. The leading projections forecast the Panthers to run the 3rd-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.2 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics. The 4th-fewest plays in football have been called by the Carolina Panthers this year (a mere 54.3 per game on average). Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 33.2 pass attempts per game against the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year: 10th-fewest in the NFL. Adam Thielen's 3.8 adjusted receptions per game this season signifies a remarkable reduction in his pass-catching skills over last season's 6.1 mark.

An extreme rushing game script is implied by the Eagles being a huge 14-point favorite in this week's contest. Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Philadelphia Eagles to pass on 42.9% of their chances: the lowest frequency among all teams this week. Saquon Barkley's 20.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly worse this season than it was last season at 27.4.

At the moment, the 7th-least pass-oriented offense in the NFL (58.2% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Panthers. The leading projections forecast the Panthers to run the 3rd-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.2 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics. The 4th-fewest plays in football have been called by the Carolina Panthers this year (a mere 54.3 per game on average). Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 33.2 pass attempts per game against the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year: 10th-fewest in the NFL. Chuba Hubbard's ball-catching skills have tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Completion% shrinking from 89.0% to 81.0%.

An extreme rushing game script is implied by the Eagles being a huge 14-point favorite in this week's contest. Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Philadelphia Eagles to pass on 42.9% of their chances: the lowest frequency among all teams this week. A.J. Brown's 4.9 adjusted catches per game this year shows a noteable reduction in his receiving talent over last year's 6.2 figure.

At a -14-point disadvantage, the Panthers are massive underdogs in this week's contest, indicating much more of a reliance on throwing than their usual game plan.