Minnesota @ Los Angeles props

The Los Angeles O-line ranks as the 2nd-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all passing attack stats across the board. As it relates to linebackers in pass coverage, Minnesota's group of LBs has been terrific this year, profiling as the 4th-best in the league.

An extreme running game script is indicated by the Rams being an enormous 7-point favorite in this week's contest. The projections expect the Rams to be the 5th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 62.1% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. The predictive model expects this game to see the 4th-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.0 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics. The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and lower rush volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency. Opposing teams have averaged 43.3 pass attempts per game against the Vikings defense this year: most in football.

Kyren Williams's 10.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive usage) has been substantially worse this season than it was last season at 17.5. The Los Angeles O-line ranks as the 2nd-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all passing attack stats across the board. This year, the imposing Vikings defense has conceded a measly 81.4% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing running backs: the 9th-best rate in the NFL. As it relates to linebackers in pass coverage, Minnesota's group of LBs has been terrific this year, profiling as the 4th-best in the league.

At the moment, the 8th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL (63.4% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Minnesota Vikings. The leading projections forecast this game to have the 4th-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 131.0 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics. The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while rush volume may drop-off. With an exceptional 3.4 adjusted receptions per game (94th percentile) this year, Aaron Jones has been as one of the top RB receiving threats in the league. This year, the weak Los Angeles Rams pass defense has surrendered a colossal 92.6% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing running backs: the 4th-worst rate in the league.

With a 3-point advantage, the Vikings are favored in this week's game, indicating more of a reliance on rushing than their normal game plan. The Vikings have run the 2nd-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 52.0 plays per game.

At the moment, the 8th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL (63.4% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Minnesota Vikings. The leading projections forecast this game to have the 4th-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 131.0 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics. The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while rush volume may drop-off. Our trusted projections expect Justin Jefferson to garner 10.5 targets in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 99th percentile among wideouts. Justin Jefferson's 34.2% Target Rate this season illustrates a meaningful growth in his pass game usage over last season's 28.0% rate.