DET -7.5 o49.5
IND 7.5 u49.5
TEN 9.0 o41.0
HOU -9.0 u41.0
NE 7.5 o46.5
MIA -7.5 u46.5
MIN -3.5 o39.0
CHI 3.5 u39.0
KC -11.0 o43.0
CAR 11.0 u43.0
TB -5.5 o41.5
NYG 5.5 u41.5
DAL 10.5 o45.0
WAS -10.5 u45.0
DEN -6.0 o40.5
LV 6.0 u40.5
SF 2.5 o47.0
GB -2.5 u47.0
ARI 1.0 o48.0
SEA -1.0 u48.0
PHI -3.0 o49.5
LA 3.0 u49.5
BAL -3.0 o51.0
LAC 3.0 u51.0
Final Nov 21
PIT 19 -3.5 o37.0
CLE 24 3.5 u37.0
Tampa Bay 2nd NFC South4-6
Detroit 1st NFC North9-1

Tampa Bay @ Detroit props

Ford Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Sam LaPorta Receptions Made Props • Detroit

S. LaPorta
tight end TE • Detroit
Prop
4.5
Receptions Made
Projection
5.3
Best Odds
Over
-132

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Detroit Lions are expected by the predictive model to run 66.5 total plays in this game: the 6th-most among all teams this week. The Lions have called the 7th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 60.2 plays per game. The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop. Opposing teams have averaged 36.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense since the start of last season: 5th-most in football. Sam LaPorta ranks as one of the top tight ends in the pass game since the start of last season, averaging an outstanding 4.9 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 95th percentile.

Sam LaPorta

Prop: 4.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 5.3
Prop:
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
5.3

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Detroit Lions are expected by the predictive model to run 66.5 total plays in this game: the 6th-most among all teams this week. The Lions have called the 7th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 60.2 plays per game. The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop. Opposing teams have averaged 36.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense since the start of last season: 5th-most in football. Sam LaPorta ranks as one of the top tight ends in the pass game since the start of last season, averaging an outstanding 4.9 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 95th percentile.

Jahmyr Gibbs Receptions Made Props • Detroit

J. Gibbs
running back RB • Detroit
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3.7
Best Odds
Over
+105

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Detroit Lions are expected by the predictive model to run 66.5 total plays in this game: the 6th-most among all teams this week. The Lions have called the 7th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 60.2 plays per game. The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop. Opposing teams have averaged 36.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense since the start of last season: 5th-most in football. With a sizeable 58.7% Route Participation Rate (96th percentile) since the start of last season, Jahmyr Gibbs has been as one of the pass-catching RBs with the biggest workloads in football.

Jahmyr Gibbs

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 3.7
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
3.7

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Detroit Lions are expected by the predictive model to run 66.5 total plays in this game: the 6th-most among all teams this week. The Lions have called the 7th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 60.2 plays per game. The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop. Opposing teams have averaged 36.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense since the start of last season: 5th-most in football. With a sizeable 58.7% Route Participation Rate (96th percentile) since the start of last season, Jahmyr Gibbs has been as one of the pass-catching RBs with the biggest workloads in football.

Chris Godwin Receptions Made Props • Tampa Bay

C. Godwin
wide receiver WR • Tampa Bay
Prop
5.5
Receptions Made
Projection
5.7
Best Odds
Over
-105

At a -6-point disadvantage, the Buccaneers are underdogs in this week's contest, suggesting more of an emphasis on throwing than their typical game plan. Our trusted projections expect the Buccaneers as the 2nd-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 64.0% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to see 129.8 plays on offense called: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week. The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide. Chris Godwin profiles as one of the best wide receivers in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 5.0 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 88th percentile.

Chris Godwin

Prop: 5.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 5.7
Prop:
5.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
5.7

At a -6-point disadvantage, the Buccaneers are underdogs in this week's contest, suggesting more of an emphasis on throwing than their typical game plan. Our trusted projections expect the Buccaneers as the 2nd-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 64.0% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to see 129.8 plays on offense called: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week. The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide. Chris Godwin profiles as one of the best wide receivers in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 5.0 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 88th percentile.

Mike Evans Receptions Made Props • Tampa Bay

M. Evans
wide receiver WR • Tampa Bay
Prop
4.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4.8
Best Odds
Over
-128

At a -6-point disadvantage, the Buccaneers are underdogs in this week's contest, suggesting more of an emphasis on throwing than their typical game plan. Our trusted projections expect the Buccaneers as the 2nd-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 64.1% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to see 129.3 plays on offense called: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week. The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide. With a fantastic 4.6 adjusted catches per game (86th percentile) since the start of last season, Mike Evans ranks as one of the leading pass-catching wide receivers in football.

Mike Evans

Prop: 4.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4.8
Prop:
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4.8

At a -6-point disadvantage, the Buccaneers are underdogs in this week's contest, suggesting more of an emphasis on throwing than their typical game plan. Our trusted projections expect the Buccaneers as the 2nd-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 64.1% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to see 129.3 plays on offense called: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week. The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide. With a fantastic 4.6 adjusted catches per game (86th percentile) since the start of last season, Mike Evans ranks as one of the leading pass-catching wide receivers in football.

Amon-Ra St. Brown Receptions Made Props • Detroit

A. St. Brown
wide receiver WR • Detroit
Prop
6.5
Receptions Made
Projection
6.8
Best Odds
Over
-140
Prop
6.5 Receptions Made
Projection
6.8
Best Odds
Over
-140
Projection Rating

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Detroit Lions are expected by the predictive model to run 66.5 total plays in this game: the 6th-most among all teams this week. The Lions have called the 7th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 60.2 plays per game. The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop. Opposing teams have averaged 36.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense since the start of last season: 5th-most in football. With an impressive 7.2 adjusted catches per game (98th percentile) since the start of last season, Amon-Ra St. Brown rates among the best WRs in the NFL in football.

Amon-Ra St. Brown

Prop: 6.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 6.8
Prop:
6.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
6.8

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Detroit Lions are expected by the predictive model to run 66.5 total plays in this game: the 6th-most among all teams this week. The Lions have called the 7th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 60.2 plays per game. The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop. Opposing teams have averaged 36.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense since the start of last season: 5th-most in football. With an impressive 7.2 adjusted catches per game (98th percentile) since the start of last season, Amon-Ra St. Brown rates among the best WRs in the NFL in football.

Cade Otton Receptions Made Props • Tampa Bay

C. Otton
tight end TE • Tampa Bay
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.7
Best Odds
Over
-139

At a -6-point disadvantage, the Buccaneers are underdogs in this week's contest, suggesting more of an emphasis on throwing than their typical game plan. Our trusted projections expect the Buccaneers as the 2nd-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 64.0% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to see 129.8 plays on offense called: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week. The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide. With a high 88.3% Route Participation Rate (99th percentile) since the start of last season, Cade Otton has been among the TEs with the biggest workloads in the NFL.

Cade Otton

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2.7
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2.7

At a -6-point disadvantage, the Buccaneers are underdogs in this week's contest, suggesting more of an emphasis on throwing than their typical game plan. Our trusted projections expect the Buccaneers as the 2nd-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 64.0% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to see 129.8 plays on offense called: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week. The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide. With a high 88.3% Route Participation Rate (99th percentile) since the start of last season, Cade Otton has been among the TEs with the biggest workloads in the NFL.

Rachaad White Receptions Made Props • Tampa Bay

R. White
running back RB • Tampa Bay
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3.6
Best Odds
Over
-130

At a -6-point disadvantage, the Buccaneers are underdogs in this week's contest, suggesting more of an emphasis on throwing than their typical game plan. Our trusted projections expect the Buccaneers as the 2nd-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 64.0% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to see 129.8 plays on offense called: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week. The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide. With an excellent 3.9 adjusted catches per game (97th percentile) since the start of last season, Rachaad White stands as one of the top RBs in the pass game in the league.

Rachaad White

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 3.6
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
3.6

At a -6-point disadvantage, the Buccaneers are underdogs in this week's contest, suggesting more of an emphasis on throwing than their typical game plan. Our trusted projections expect the Buccaneers as the 2nd-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 64.0% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to see 129.8 plays on offense called: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week. The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide. With an excellent 3.9 adjusted catches per game (97th percentile) since the start of last season, Rachaad White stands as one of the top RBs in the pass game in the league.

Bucky Irving Receptions Made Props • Tampa Bay

B. Irving
running back RB • Tampa Bay
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
--
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
+110
Under
-140
Prop
2.5 Receptions Made
Season Avg.
--
Best Odds
Over
+110
Under
-140

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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