Detroit @ Arizona props

The Cardinals are a 4-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script. The pass games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop. In this week's game, Trey McBride is expected by the projections to finish in the 100th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 8.3 targets. Trey McBride has been a key part of his team's offense, posting a Target Share of 20.9% since the start of last season, which ranks him in the 96th percentile when it comes to TEs. Trey McBride checks in as one of the leading pass-catching TEs since the start of last season, averaging an excellent 4.5 adjusted receptions per game while ranking in the 94th percentile.

At the present time, the 10th-least pass-heavy team in the NFL (58.8% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Cardinals. The leading projections forecast the Cardinals to call the 5th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 61.9 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. Since the start of last season, the fierce Detroit Lions defense has surrendered a mere 72.4% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing RBs: the smallest rate in football. The Lions safeties project as the 8th-best collection of safeties in the NFL since the start of last season in pass coverage.

The Lions have called the 2nd-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 61.2 plays per game. The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off. The leading projections forecast Sam LaPorta to total 6.6 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 95th percentile when it comes to TEs. Sam LaPorta slots into the 92nd percentile when it comes to TE WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) with an astounding 42.4 mark since the start of last season. With a stellar 4.7 adjusted receptions per game (95th percentile) since the start of last season, Sam LaPorta rates as one of the best pass-catching TEs in the NFL.

The Lions have called the 2nd-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 61.2 plays per game. The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off. In this week's game, Jahmyr Gibbs is predicted by the model to land in the 96th percentile among running backs with 5.1 targets. Jahmyr Gibbs has been a key part of his team's offense, earning a Target Share of 15.1% since the start of last season, which ranks him in the 95th percentile among running backs. Jahmyr Gibbs rates as one of the leading RB receiving threats since the start of last season, averaging an outstanding 3.2 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 93rd percentile.

The Lions have called the 2nd-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 61.2 plays per game. The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off. In this week's contest, Amon-Ra St. Brown is anticipated by the model to position himself in the 98th percentile among WRs with 9.9 targets. With a remarkable 30.0% Target% (97th percentile) since the start of last season, Amon-Ra St. Brown places among the WRs with the biggest workloads in football. Amon-Ra St. Brown rates as one of the leading pass-catching wide receivers since the start of last season, averaging an exceptional 6.8 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 98th percentile.

At the present time, the 10th-least pass-heavy team in the NFL (58.8% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Cardinals. The leading projections forecast the Cardinals to call the 5th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 61.9 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.