Green Bay @ Tennessee props

The Packers will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Malik Willis this week, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. With a stellar 3.8 adjusted catches per game (76th percentile) since the start of last season, Jayden Reed rates among the top WRs in the game in the NFL. With an impressive 71.8% Adjusted Completion Rate (83rd percentile) since the start of last season, Jayden Reed has been as one of the most sure-handed receivers in the league when it comes to wideouts. The Tennessee Titans pass defense has given up the highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (70.8%) versus wideouts since the start of last season (70.8%). The Tennessee cornerbacks grade out as the 6th-worst CB corps in football since the start of last season in pass coverage.

The Packers will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Malik Willis this week, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. Tucker Kraft has been one of the most reliable receivers in the NFL among TEs, completing a remarkable 81.5% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, grading out in the 87th percentile. Since the start of last season, the deficient Titans pass defense has surrendered a monstrous 76.9% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing tight ends: the 6th-highest rate in the league. The Titans defensive ends grade out as the 3rd-worst collection of DEs in the NFL since the start of last season in regard to pass rush.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Tennessee Titans are anticipated by the projections to run only 60.4 total plays in this game: the lowest number among all teams this week. The smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Tennessee Titans since the start of last season (a lowly 54.6 per game on average). Opposing QBs teams have been hesitant to pass too much against the Green Bay Packers, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 32.2 per game) since the start of last season. When talking about pocket protection (and the effect it has on all air attack statistics), the O-line of the Titans profiles as the 9th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season.

The Packers will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Malik Willis this week, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. Josh Jacobs has been an integral part of his team's passing attack, garnering a Target Share of 12.1% since the start of last season, which ranks him in the 88th percentile when it comes to RBs. With an exceptional 2.5 adjusted catches per game (80th percentile) since the start of last season, Josh Jacobs stands among the best RBs in the pass game in the league. The Titans defensive ends grade out as the 3rd-worst collection of DEs in the NFL since the start of last season in regard to pass rush.

This game's line suggests a throwing game script for the Titans, who are -3.5-point underdogs. Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Titans to pass on 60.1% of their downs: the 9th-highest rate among all teams this week. Calvin Ridley has run a route on 92.7% of his offense's passing plays since the start of last season, putting him in the 92nd percentile among wide receivers. The predictive model expects Calvin Ridley to garner 7.5 targets in this week's game, on balance, placing him in the 84th percentile when it comes to wideouts. With a terrific 4.2 adjusted catches per game (84th percentile) since the start of last season, Calvin Ridley has been among the leading wide receivers in the league in football.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Tennessee Titans are anticipated by the projections to run only 60.4 total plays in this game: the lowest number among all teams this week. The smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Tennessee Titans since the start of last season (a lowly 54.6 per game on average). Opposing QBs teams have been hesitant to pass too much against the Green Bay Packers, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 32.2 per game) since the start of last season. When talking about pocket protection (and the effect it has on all air attack statistics), the O-line of the Titans profiles as the 9th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season.