Carolina @ Denver props

At a -13-point disadvantage, the Panthers are massive underdogs this week, suggesting much more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their standard approach. The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, and lower run volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness. The Broncos defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, allowing opposing QBs to attempt the 9th-most passes in football (35.0 per game) this year.

With respect to a defense's influence on pace, at 27.37 seconds per play, our trusted projections expect the Broncos as the 4th-quickest in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment. Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being called for in this game) generally correlate with increased passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased air volume, and reduced rush volume. The Denver Broncos offensive line profiles as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong effect on all air attack statistics across the board. The Carolina Panthers safeties grade out as the 6th-worst collection of safeties in football this year in pass coverage.

At a -13-point disadvantage, the Panthers are massive underdogs this week, suggesting much more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their standard approach. The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, and lower run volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness. The Broncos defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, allowing opposing QBs to attempt the 9th-most passes in football (35.0 per game) this year.

At a -13-point disadvantage, the Panthers are massive underdogs this week, suggesting much more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their standard approach. The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, and lower run volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness. The Broncos defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, allowing opposing QBs to attempt the 9th-most passes in football (35.0 per game) this year. With an extraordinary 52.0% Route Participation Rate (86th percentile) this year, Chuba Hubbard has been as one of the pass-catching RBs with the highest volume in the NFL. Chuba Hubbard has been one of the best pass-game RBs this year, averaging a stellar 3.2 adjusted receptions per game while ranking in the 90th percentile.

With respect to a defense's influence on pace, at 27.37 seconds per play, our trusted projections expect the Broncos as the 4th-quickest in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment. Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being called for in this game) generally correlate with increased passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased air volume, and reduced rush volume. The projections expect Javonte Williams to notch 4.0 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 88th percentile among RBs. Javonte Williams's 20.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit better this year than it was last year at 15.0. With an excellent 3.3 adjusted receptions per game (92nd percentile) this year, Javonte Williams ranks among the top running backs in the pass game in the league.

With respect to a defense's influence on pace, at 27.37 seconds per play, our trusted projections expect the Broncos as the 4th-quickest in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment. Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being called for in this game) generally correlate with increased passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased air volume, and reduced rush volume. Courtland Sutton's 59.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive volume) ranks him among the league leaders: 88th percentile for WRs. The Denver Broncos offensive line profiles as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong effect on all air attack statistics across the board. The Carolina Panthers pass defense has been gouged for the 5th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (69.6%) to wide receivers this year (69.6%).