San Francisco @ Los Angeles props

The predictive model expects the Rams to be the 3rd-slowest paced defense in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, causing opposing offenses to average 28.98 seconds per snap. The 49ers pass defense has given up the 7th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (70.5%) versus tight ends since the start of last season (70.5%). The 49ers linebackers project as the 2nd-best LB corps in the NFL since the start of last season in defending pass-catchers.

Calm weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being predicted in this game) typically correlate with better passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and lower run volume. Opposing offenses have averaged 34.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Los Angeles Rams defense since the start of last season: 10th-most in the NFL. George Kittle has run a route on 87.0% of his offense's dropbacks since the start of last season, putting him in the 98th percentile when it comes to TEs. In this week's contest, George Kittle is expected by the projections to slot into the 96th percentile among TEs with 7.1 targets. With a fantastic 3.8 adjusted receptions per game (86th percentile) since the start of last season, George Kittle ranks as one of the top tight ends in the pass game in football.

Our trusted projections expect the Los Angeles Rams as the 5th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 61.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, and reduced rush volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. The 49ers defense has been something of pass funnel since the start of last season, leading opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 6th-most passes in the league (35.4 per game) since the start of last season. The model projects Demarcus Robinson to garner 7.5 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 84th percentile among WRs. The leading projections forecast Demarcus Robinson to be a much bigger part of his offense's passing attack in this game (21.5% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (10.3% in games he has played).

The predictive model expects the Rams to be the 3rd-slowest paced defense in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, causing opposing offenses to average 28.98 seconds per snap. Kyren Williams comes in as one of the most hard-handed receivers in the NFL when it comes to running backs, completing just 70.1% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, grading out in the 7th percentile. The 49ers linebackers project as the 2nd-best LB corps in the NFL since the start of last season in defending pass-catchers.

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the 49ers to pass on 54.9% of their downs: the 8th-lowest clip among all teams this week. The leading projections forecast the 49ers to run the 4th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 61.7 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics. The 2nd-lowest number of plays in the league have been run by the 49ers since the start of last season (a mere 54.7 per game on average). When it comes to pocket protection (and the effect it has on all passing game statistics), the O-line of the 49ers ranks as the 5th-worst in football since the start of last season. Since the start of last season, the tough Los Angeles Rams defense has allowed a mere 57.3% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wideouts: the 2nd-smallest rate in the NFL.

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the 49ers to pass on 54.9% of their downs: the 8th-lowest clip among all teams this week. The leading projections forecast the 49ers to run the 4th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 61.7 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics. The 2nd-lowest number of plays in the league have been run by the 49ers since the start of last season (a mere 54.7 per game on average). When it comes to pocket protection (and the effect it has on all passing game statistics), the O-line of the 49ers ranks as the 5th-worst in football since the start of last season.

Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being predicted in this game) typically correlate with better passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and lower run volume. Opposing offenses have averaged 34.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Los Angeles Rams defense since the start of last season: 10th-most in the NFL. While Jordan Mason has accounted for 1.6% of his team's targets in games he has played since the start of last season, the projections expect him to be much more involved in San Francisco's pass game in this week's contest at 9.0%. The Los Angeles Rams linebackers rank as the 8th-worst group of LBs in the NFL since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.