Houston @ New York props

Opposing offenses have averaged 30.9 pass attempts per game versus the Jets defense this year: 8th-fewest in the NFL. In regards to pass-blocking (and the importance it has on all air attack stats), the offensive line of the Texans profiles as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year. Nathaniel Dell's pass-catching performance worsened this season, notching just 3.4 adjusted catches compared to 4.5 last season. The Jets pass defense has conceded the 3rd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (56.5%) vs. WRs this year (56.5%). As it relates to linebackers in covering receivers, New York's LB corps has been fantastic this year, projecting as the best in football.

Opposing offenses have averaged 30.9 pass attempts per game versus the Jets defense this year: 8th-fewest in the NFL. In regards to pass-blocking (and the importance it has on all air attack stats), the offensive line of the Texans profiles as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year. Dalton Schultz's receiving talent has worsened this year, totaling a mere 2.7 adjusted receptions vs 3.9 last year. Dalton Schultz's sure-handedness have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Completion% shrinking from 70.0% to 55.6%. As it relates to linebackers in covering receivers, New York's LB corps has been fantastic this year, projecting as the best in football.

The leading projections forecast the Jets to run the 9th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.5 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics. Breece Hall's possession skills have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Completion% shrinking from 85.1% to 73.8%. The Houston Texans pass defense has surrendered the 3rd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (77.9%) versus RBs this year (77.9%). As it relates to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Houston's LB corps has been exceptional this year, ranking as the 9th-best in the league.

Opposing offenses have averaged 30.9 pass attempts per game versus the Jets defense this year: 8th-fewest in the NFL. In regards to pass-blocking (and the importance it has on all air attack stats), the offensive line of the Texans profiles as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year. Joe Mixon's sure-handedness have tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate shrinking from 83.5% to 69.7%. As it relates to linebackers in covering receivers, New York's LB corps has been fantastic this year, projecting as the best in football.

At the present time, the 8th-most pass-focused team in the league (62.5% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the New York Jets. Tyler Conklin has run fewer routes this season (82.5% Route Participation% in games he has played) than he did last season (67.7%). Our trusted projections expect Tyler Conklin to earn 4.1 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 80th percentile among tight ends. The Jets O-line profiles as the 4th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all air attack statistics across the board. Tyler Conklin profiles as one of the best pass-catching TEs this year, averaging an outstanding 3.3 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 77th percentile.

At the present time, the 8th-most pass-focused team in the league (62.5% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the New York Jets. Garrett Wilson has run a route on 98.2% of his team's dropbacks this year, placing him in the 99th percentile among wideouts. In this game, Garrett Wilson is forecasted by the model to finish in the 92nd percentile among wideouts with 8.6 targets. The Jets O-line profiles as the 4th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all air attack statistics across the board. With an excellent 6.5 adjusted catches per game (97th percentile) this year, Garrett Wilson places as one of the best pass-catching WRs in the NFL.