TEN 4.0 o42.5
IND -4.0 u42.5
CLE 10.0 o47.0
CIN -10.0 u47.0
PHI -4.0 o46.5
WAS 4.0 u46.5
LA -3.0 o47.0
NYJ 3.0 u47.0
NYG 10.0 o43.0
ATL -10.0 u43.0
DET -6.5 o47.0
CHI 6.5 u47.0
ARI -5.0 o47.0
CAR 5.0 u47.0
MIN -2.5 o42.5
SEA 2.5 u42.5
NE 14.0 o46.5
BUF -14.0 u46.5
JAC 2.5 o41.5
LV -2.5 u41.5
SF -2.0 o44.0
MIA 2.0 u44.0
TB -4.0 o48.0
DAL 4.0 u48.0
NO 14.0 o42.0
GB -14.0 u42.0
Final Dec 19
DEN 27
LAC 34
Final Dec 21
HOU 19 3.5 o42.5
KC 27 -3.5 u42.5
Final Dec 21
PIT 17 7.5 o44.0
BAL 34 -7.5 u44.0
Los Angeles 2nd AFC West9-6
Pittsburgh 1st AFC North10-5
CBS

Los Angeles @ Pittsburgh props

Acrisure Stadium

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Pat Freiermuth Receptions Made Props • Pittsburgh

P. Freiermuth
tight end TE • Pittsburgh
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3.4
Best Odds
Over
-120

The weather report calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and lower run volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness. With a high 69.6% Route Participation% (87th percentile) since the start of last season, Pat Freiermuth has been as one of the tight ends with the biggest workloads in the league. The model projects Pat Freiermuth to garner 4.9 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 89th percentile among tight ends. Since the start of last season, the shaky Chargers pass defense has surrendered a colossal 78.7% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing tight ends: the 2nd-worst rate in the NFL.

Pat Freiermuth

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 3.4
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
3.4

The weather report calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and lower run volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness. With a high 69.6% Route Participation% (87th percentile) since the start of last season, Pat Freiermuth has been as one of the tight ends with the biggest workloads in the league. The model projects Pat Freiermuth to garner 4.9 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 89th percentile among tight ends. Since the start of last season, the shaky Chargers pass defense has surrendered a colossal 78.7% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing tight ends: the 2nd-worst rate in the NFL.

Ladd McConkey Receptions Made Props • L.A. Chargers

L. McConkey
wide receiver WR • L.A. Chargers
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4.1
Best Odds
Over
-108

The 9th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Los Angeles Chargers since the start of last season (a massive 59.8 per game on average). Calm weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being projected in this game) usually prompt increased passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher air attack volume, and reduced rush volume.

Ladd McConkey

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4.1
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4.1

The 9th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Los Angeles Chargers since the start of last season (a massive 59.8 per game on average). Calm weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being projected in this game) usually prompt increased passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher air attack volume, and reduced rush volume.

Hayden Hurst Receptions Made Props • L.A. Chargers

H. Hurst
tight end TE • L.A. Chargers
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.8
Best Odds
Over
+105

The 9th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Los Angeles Chargers since the start of last season (a massive 59.8 per game on average). Calm weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being projected in this game) usually prompt increased passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher air attack volume, and reduced rush volume. With a remarkable 59.2% Route Participation Rate (80th percentile) since the start of last season, Hayden Hurst has been as one of the tight ends with the biggest workloads in the league. The leading projections forecast Hayden Hurst to accumulate 4.2 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 76th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

Hayden Hurst

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2.8
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2.8

The 9th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Los Angeles Chargers since the start of last season (a massive 59.8 per game on average). Calm weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being projected in this game) usually prompt increased passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher air attack volume, and reduced rush volume. With a remarkable 59.2% Route Participation Rate (80th percentile) since the start of last season, Hayden Hurst has been as one of the tight ends with the biggest workloads in the league. The leading projections forecast Hayden Hurst to accumulate 4.2 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 76th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

J.K. Dobbins Receptions Made Props • L.A. Chargers

J. Dobbins
running back RB • L.A. Chargers
Prop
1.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.3
Best Odds
Over
-168
Prop
1.5 Receptions Made
Projection
2.3
Best Odds
Over
-168
Projection Rating

The 9th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Los Angeles Chargers since the start of last season (a massive 59.8 per game on average). Calm weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being projected in this game) usually prompt increased passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher air attack volume, and reduced rush volume. The projections expect J.K. Dobbins to earn 3.0 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 78th percentile when it comes to running backs.

J.K. Dobbins

Prop: 1.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2.3
Prop:
1.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2.3

The 9th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Los Angeles Chargers since the start of last season (a massive 59.8 per game on average). Calm weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being projected in this game) usually prompt increased passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher air attack volume, and reduced rush volume. The projections expect J.K. Dobbins to earn 3.0 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 78th percentile when it comes to running backs.

Najee Harris Receptions Made Props • Pittsburgh

N. Harris
running back RB • Pittsburgh
Prop
1.5
Receptions Made
Projection
1.6
Best Odds
Over
+115
Prop
1.5 Receptions Made
Projection
1.6
Best Odds
Over
+115
Projection Rating

The weather report calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and lower run volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Najee Harris

Prop: 1.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 1.6
Prop:
1.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
1.6

The weather report calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and lower run volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

George Pickens Receptions Made Props • Pittsburgh

G. Pickens
wide receiver WR • Pittsburgh
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3.5
Best Odds
Over
+120

The weather report calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and lower run volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness. With a high 93.8% Route Participation% (94th percentile) since the start of last season, George Pickens ranks as one of the WRs with the most usage in the league. This week, George Pickens is predicted by the projection model to land in the 75th percentile among WRs with 6.2 targets. George Pickens grades out as one of the top wide receivers in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a remarkable 3.7 adjusted receptions per game while ranking in the 75th percentile.

George Pickens

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 3.5
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
3.5

The weather report calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and lower run volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness. With a high 93.8% Route Participation% (94th percentile) since the start of last season, George Pickens ranks as one of the WRs with the most usage in the league. This week, George Pickens is predicted by the projection model to land in the 75th percentile among WRs with 6.2 targets. George Pickens grades out as one of the top wide receivers in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a remarkable 3.7 adjusted receptions per game while ranking in the 75th percentile.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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