Los Angeles @ Pittsburgh props

The predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 46.6% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the significance it has on all passing game statistics), the offensive line of the Steelers ranks as the 4th-worst in the league since the start of last season. Since the start of last season, the fierce Chargers defense has given up a puny 62.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wideouts: the 9th-best rate in the NFL. When it comes to cornerbacks in defending receivers, Los Angeles's CB corps has been exceptional since the start of last season, ranking as the best in football.

With respect to a defense's impact on pace, the Pittsburgh Steelers defense has allowed opposing offenses to play 8th-fastest in the league (context-neutralized) since the start of last season at 27.47 seconds per snap. With a high 69.6% Route Participation% (87th percentile) since the start of last season, Pat Freiermuth has been as one of the tight ends with the biggest workloads in the league. The model projects Pat Freiermuth to garner 4.7 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 85th percentile among tight ends. Since the start of last season, the shaky Chargers pass defense has surrendered a colossal 78.7% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing tight ends: the 2nd-worst rate in the NFL.