Cincinnati @ Dallas props

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 65.4% of their plays: the 2nd-highest rate among all teams this week. Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to have 135.1 offensive plays called: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide. In this game, Mike Gesicki is predicted by the projections to find himself in the 78th percentile when it comes to TEs with 4.8 targets. Mike Gesicki's 3.6 adjusted receptions per game this season indicates a meaningful progression in his pass-catching skills over last season's 2.0 mark.

The Dallas Cowboys will be forced to use backup QB Cooper Rush in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. This week's spread suggests a passing game script for the Cowboys, who are -4.5-point underdogs. The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 135.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. Opposing teams have averaged 35.5 pass attempts per game versus the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year: 9th-most in the league. With an outstanding 4.8 adjusted receptions per game (92nd percentile) this year, Jake Ferguson ranks among the best pass-game tight ends in the NFL.

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 65.4% of their plays: the 2nd-highest rate among all teams this week. Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to have 135.1 offensive plays called: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide. The predictive model expects Tee Higgins to notch 10.6 targets in this week's contest, on balance, placing him in the 98th percentile among wide receivers. Tee Higgins's pass-catching performance improved this season, notching 6.2 adjusted catches compared to a measly 3.6 last season.

The Dallas Cowboys will be forced to use backup QB Cooper Rush in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. This week's spread suggests a passing game script for the Cowboys, who are -4.5-point underdogs. The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 135.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. The Dallas Cowboys have run the 3rd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 61.2 plays per game. Opposing teams have averaged 35.5 pass attempts per game versus the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year: 9th-most in the league.

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 65.4% of their plays: the 2nd-highest rate among all teams this week. Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to have 135.1 offensive plays called: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide. This week, Chase Brown is forecasted by the model to position himself in the 96th percentile when it comes to running backs with 5.5 targets. Chase Brown's 16.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit better this season than it was last season at 4.5.

The Dallas Cowboys will be forced to use backup QB Cooper Rush in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. This week's spread suggests a passing game script for the Cowboys, who are -4.5-point underdogs. The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 135.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. The Dallas Cowboys have run the 3rd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 61.2 plays per game. Opposing teams have averaged 35.5 pass attempts per game versus the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year: 9th-most in the league.