CLE 10.0 o46.5
CIN -10.0 u46.5
PHI -4.0 o47.0
WAS 4.0 u47.0
LA -3.0 o47.0
NYJ 3.0 u47.0
NYG 10.0 o43.0
ATL -10.0 u43.0
DET -6.5 o47.5
CHI 6.5 u47.5
ARI -5.5 o47.0
CAR 5.5 u47.0
TEN 4.0 o42.5
IND -4.0 u42.5
MIN -2.5 o42.5
SEA 2.5 u42.5
NE 14.0 o46.5
BUF -14.0 u46.5
JAC 2.5 o41.5
LV -2.5 u41.5
SF -2.0 o44.0
MIA 2.0 u44.0
TB -4.0 o48.0
DAL 4.0 u48.0
NO 14.0 o42.0
GB -14.0 u42.0
Final Dec 19
DEN 27
LAC 34
Final Dec 21
HOU 19 3.5 o42.5
KC 27 -3.5 u42.5
Final Dec 21
PIT 17 7.5 o44.0
BAL 34 -7.5 u44.0
Denver 3rd AFC West9-6
Tampa Bay 1st NFC South8-6
FOX

Denver @ Tampa Bay props

Raymond James Stadium

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Courtland Sutton Receptions Made Props • Denver

C. Sutton
wide receiver WR • Denver
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4.1
Best Odds
Over
-110

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Broncos are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on throwing than their normal game plan. Right now, the 9th-quickest paced offense in football (in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Broncos. The Buccaneers defense has been a prominent pass funnel since the start of last season, enticing opposing offenses to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the league (37.3 per game) since the start of last season. With a high 92.4% Route% (90th percentile) since the start of last season, Courtland Sutton places among the WRs with the biggest workloads in the league. The leading projections forecast Courtland Sutton to accrue 7.4 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 83rd percentile when it comes to WRs.

Courtland Sutton

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4.1
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4.1

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Broncos are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on throwing than their normal game plan. Right now, the 9th-quickest paced offense in football (in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Broncos. The Buccaneers defense has been a prominent pass funnel since the start of last season, enticing opposing offenses to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the league (37.3 per game) since the start of last season. With a high 92.4% Route% (90th percentile) since the start of last season, Courtland Sutton places among the WRs with the biggest workloads in the league. The leading projections forecast Courtland Sutton to accrue 7.4 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 83rd percentile when it comes to WRs.

Greg Dulcich Receptions Made Props • Denver

G. Dulcich
tight end TE • Denver
Prop
1.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.7
Best Odds
Over
-220

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Broncos are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on throwing than their normal game plan. Right now, the 9th-quickest paced offense in football (in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Broncos. The Buccaneers defense has been a prominent pass funnel since the start of last season, enticing opposing offenses to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the league (37.3 per game) since the start of last season. The predictive model expects Greg Dulcich to notch 4.2 targets in this week's contest, on balance, putting him in the 76th percentile among TEs. With a high 11.6% Target% (81st percentile) since the start of last season, Greg Dulcich ranks as one of the TEs with the biggest workloads in the NFL.

Greg Dulcich

Prop: 1.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2.7
Prop:
1.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2.7

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Broncos are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on throwing than their normal game plan. Right now, the 9th-quickest paced offense in football (in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Broncos. The Buccaneers defense has been a prominent pass funnel since the start of last season, enticing opposing offenses to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the league (37.3 per game) since the start of last season. The predictive model expects Greg Dulcich to notch 4.2 targets in this week's contest, on balance, putting him in the 76th percentile among TEs. With a high 11.6% Target% (81st percentile) since the start of last season, Greg Dulcich ranks as one of the TEs with the biggest workloads in the NFL.

Rachaad White Receptions Made Props • Tampa Bay

R. White
running back RB • Tampa Bay
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3.2
Best Odds
Under
-159

This game's spread suggests a running game script for the Buccaneers, who are favored by 3.5 points. Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are predicted by the projections to call only 62.4 plays on offense in this contest: the 6th-fewest among all teams this week. The 6th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Tampa Bay Buccaneers since the start of last season (a measly 55.7 per game on average). When it comes to safeties in defending receivers, Denver's collection of safeties has been great since the start of last season, grading out as the 7th-best in football.

Rachaad White

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 3.2
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
3.2

This game's spread suggests a running game script for the Buccaneers, who are favored by 3.5 points. Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are predicted by the projections to call only 62.4 plays on offense in this contest: the 6th-fewest among all teams this week. The 6th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Tampa Bay Buccaneers since the start of last season (a measly 55.7 per game on average). When it comes to safeties in defending receivers, Denver's collection of safeties has been great since the start of last season, grading out as the 7th-best in football.

Cade Otton Receptions Made Props • Tampa Bay

C. Otton
tight end TE • Tampa Bay
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.4
Best Odds
Under
-156

This game's spread suggests a running game script for the Buccaneers, who are favored by 3.5 points. Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are predicted by the projections to call only 62.4 plays on offense in this contest: the 6th-fewest among all teams this week. The 6th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Tampa Bay Buccaneers since the start of last season (a measly 55.7 per game on average). With a subpar 69.1% Adjusted Completion Rate (23rd percentile) since the start of last season, Cade Otton stands as one of the least sure-handed receivers in football among tight ends. When it comes to safeties in defending receivers, Denver's collection of safeties has been great since the start of last season, grading out as the 7th-best in football.

Cade Otton

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2.4
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2.4

This game's spread suggests a running game script for the Buccaneers, who are favored by 3.5 points. Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are predicted by the projections to call only 62.4 plays on offense in this contest: the 6th-fewest among all teams this week. The 6th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Tampa Bay Buccaneers since the start of last season (a measly 55.7 per game on average). With a subpar 69.1% Adjusted Completion Rate (23rd percentile) since the start of last season, Cade Otton stands as one of the least sure-handed receivers in football among tight ends. When it comes to safeties in defending receivers, Denver's collection of safeties has been great since the start of last season, grading out as the 7th-best in football.

Javonte Williams Receptions Made Props • Denver

J. Williams
running back RB • Denver
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.7
Best Odds
Over
-125

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Broncos are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on throwing than their normal game plan. Right now, the 9th-quickest paced offense in football (in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Broncos. The Buccaneers defense has been a prominent pass funnel since the start of last season, enticing opposing offenses to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the league (37.3 per game) since the start of last season. In this week's contest, Javonte Williams is expected by the predictive model to find himself in the 84th percentile when it comes to running backs with 3.7 targets. Javonte Williams rates as one of the top pass-catching RBs since the start of last season, averaging an outstanding 2.6 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 82nd percentile.

Javonte Williams

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2.7
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2.7

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Broncos are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on throwing than their normal game plan. Right now, the 9th-quickest paced offense in football (in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Broncos. The Buccaneers defense has been a prominent pass funnel since the start of last season, enticing opposing offenses to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the league (37.3 per game) since the start of last season. In this week's contest, Javonte Williams is expected by the predictive model to find himself in the 84th percentile when it comes to running backs with 3.7 targets. Javonte Williams rates as one of the top pass-catching RBs since the start of last season, averaging an outstanding 2.6 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 82nd percentile.

Chris Godwin Receptions Made Props • Tampa Bay

C. Godwin
wide receiver WR • Tampa Bay
Prop
5.5
Receptions Made
Projection
5.8
Best Odds
Over
-145

The projections expect the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to be the 6th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 62.3% pass rate. In this game, Chris Godwin is predicted by our trusted projection set to land in the 91st percentile among wide receivers with 8.6 targets. Chris Godwin has been an integral part of his team's passing attack, garnering a Target Share of 23.5% since the start of last season, which ranks him in the 83rd percentile when it comes to WRs. Chris Godwin profiles as one of the best WRs in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 4.8 adjusted catches per game while ranking in the 90th percentile. Since the start of last season, the anemic Denver Broncos pass defense has allowed a massive 68.1% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing WRs: the 7th-highest rate in football.

Chris Godwin

Prop: 5.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 5.8
Prop:
5.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
5.8

The projections expect the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to be the 6th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 62.3% pass rate. In this game, Chris Godwin is predicted by our trusted projection set to land in the 91st percentile among wide receivers with 8.6 targets. Chris Godwin has been an integral part of his team's passing attack, garnering a Target Share of 23.5% since the start of last season, which ranks him in the 83rd percentile when it comes to WRs. Chris Godwin profiles as one of the best WRs in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 4.8 adjusted catches per game while ranking in the 90th percentile. Since the start of last season, the anemic Denver Broncos pass defense has allowed a massive 68.1% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing WRs: the 7th-highest rate in football.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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