Washington @ Arizona props

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cardinals to pass on 55.6% of their downs: the 9th-lowest rate on the slate this week. Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Arizona Cardinals are expected by the model to call just 61.6 total plays in this game: the 5th-lowest number among all teams this week.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness. This week, Zach Ertz is expected by the projection model to position himself in the 92nd percentile among tight ends with 5.5 targets. Zach Ertz has been in the 94th percentile when it comes to tight end WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive involvement) with a staggering 40.7 figure since the start of last season. When talking about pocket protection (and the strong effect it has on all passing attack metrics), the O-line of the Washington Commanders profiles as the 10th-best in the NFL since the start of last season. With an impressive 3.9 adjusted catches per game (86th percentile) since the start of last season, Zach Ertz has been among the top pass-catching tight ends in the league.

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cardinals to pass on 55.6% of their downs: the 9th-lowest rate on the slate this week. Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Arizona Cardinals are expected by the model to call just 61.6 total plays in this game: the 5th-lowest number among all teams this week.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness. In this week's game, Terry McLaurin is projected by our trusted projection set to find himself in the 86th percentile among WRs with 7.7 targets. Terry McLaurin's 58.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive usage) ranks him among the best in football: 84th percentile for WRs. When talking about pocket protection (and the strong effect it has on all passing attack metrics), the O-line of the Washington Commanders profiles as the 10th-best in the NFL since the start of last season. Terry McLaurin checks in as one of the best wide receivers in the league since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 4.5 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 85th percentile.

The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline. Opposing QBs have averaged 35.2 pass attempts per game against the Commanders defense since the start of last season: 6th-most in football. When it comes to cornerbacks in pass coverage, Washington's unit has been very bad since the start of last season, grading out as the 2nd-worst in the league.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness. This week, Brian Robinson is expected by the predictive model to rank in the 84th percentile among RBs with 3.5 targets. When talking about pocket protection (and the strong effect it has on all passing attack metrics), the O-line of the Washington Commanders profiles as the 10th-best in the NFL since the start of last season. The Arizona Cardinals pass defense has surrendered the 3rd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (88%) to RBs since the start of last season (88.0%). The Cardinals safeties profile as the 6th-worst unit in football since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.