NO 14.5 o43.0
GB -14.5 u43.0
Final Dec 19
DEN 27
LAC 34
Final Dec 21
HOU 19 3.5 o42.5
KC 27 -3.5 u42.5
Final Dec 21
PIT 17 7.5 o44.0
BAL 34 -7.5 u44.0
Final Dec 22
TEN 30 4.0 o43.5
IND 38 -4.0 u43.5
Final Dec 22
PHI 33 -4.0 o47.0
WAS 36 4.0 u47.0
Final Dec 22
LA 19 -3.0 o47.0
NYJ 9 3.0 u47.0
Final Dec 22
CLE 6 10.0 o45.5
CIN 24 -10.0 u45.5
Final Dec 22
NYG 7 10.0 o43.0
ATL 34 -10.0 u43.0
Final OT Dec 22
ARI 30 -5.5 o47.0
CAR 36 5.5 u47.0
Final Dec 22
DET 34 -6.5 o47.5
CHI 17 6.5 u47.5
Final Dec 22
MIN 27 -2.5 o43.0
SEA 24 2.5 u43.0
Final Dec 22
NE 21 14.0 o47.5
BUF 24 -14.0 u47.5
Final Dec 22
JAC 14 2.5 o41.5
LV 19 -2.5 u41.5
Final Dec 22
SF 17 -2.0 o44.0
MIA 29 2.0 u44.0
Final Dec 22
TB 24 -4.0 o47.5
DAL 26 4.0 u47.5
Pittsburgh 1st AFC North10-5
Indianapolis 2nd AFC South7-8
CBS

Pittsburgh @ Indianapolis props

Lucas Oil Stadium

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Najee Harris Receptions Made Props • Pittsburgh

N. Harris
running back RB • Pittsburgh
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3
Best Odds
Over
+130

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Steelers are forecasted by our trusted projection set to call 65.9 offensive plays in this game: the 7th-highest number among all teams this week. The pass games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline. In this week's contest, Najee Harris is expected by the predictive model to rank in the 90th percentile among RBs with 4.0 targets. The Indianapolis Colts defensive ends profile as the 5th-worst unit in the league since the start of last season in regard to pass rush.

Najee Harris

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 3
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
3

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Steelers are forecasted by our trusted projection set to call 65.9 offensive plays in this game: the 7th-highest number among all teams this week. The pass games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline. In this week's contest, Najee Harris is expected by the predictive model to rank in the 90th percentile among RBs with 4.0 targets. The Indianapolis Colts defensive ends profile as the 5th-worst unit in the league since the start of last season in regard to pass rush.

Pat Freiermuth Receptions Made Props • Pittsburgh

P. Freiermuth
tight end TE • Pittsburgh
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3.6
Best Odds
Over
+140

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Steelers are forecasted by our trusted projection set to call 65.9 offensive plays in this game: the 7th-highest number among all teams this week. The pass games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline. Pat Freiermuth has run a route on 71.0% of his team's passing plays since the start of last season, placing him in the 87th percentile when it comes to TEs. The model projects Pat Freiermuth to garner 5.4 targets in this week's contest, on balance, putting him in the 90th percentile when it comes to TEs. Pat Freiermuth profiles as one of the top pass-game TEs since the start of last season, averaging an outstanding 3.2 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 79th percentile.

Pat Freiermuth

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 3.6
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
3.6

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Steelers are forecasted by our trusted projection set to call 65.9 offensive plays in this game: the 7th-highest number among all teams this week. The pass games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline. Pat Freiermuth has run a route on 71.0% of his team's passing plays since the start of last season, placing him in the 87th percentile when it comes to TEs. The model projects Pat Freiermuth to garner 5.4 targets in this week's contest, on balance, putting him in the 90th percentile when it comes to TEs. Pat Freiermuth profiles as one of the top pass-game TEs since the start of last season, averaging an outstanding 3.2 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 79th percentile.

Kylen Granson Receptions Made Props • Indianapolis

K. Granson
tight end TE • Indianapolis
Prop
1.5
Receptions Made
Projection
1.5
Best Odds
Over
+140
Prop
1.5 Receptions Made
Projection
1.5
Best Odds
Over
+140
Projection Rating

The projections expect this game to see the 5th-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 130.2 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics. The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop. As it relates to protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all passing attack statistics), the O-line of the Indianapolis Colts profiles as the best in football since the start of last season.

Kylen Granson

Prop: 1.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 1.5
Prop:
1.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
1.5

The projections expect this game to see the 5th-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 130.2 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics. The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop. As it relates to protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all passing attack statistics), the O-line of the Indianapolis Colts profiles as the best in football since the start of last season.

George Pickens Receptions Made Props • Pittsburgh

G. Pickens
wide receiver WR • Pittsburgh
Prop
4.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4.1
Best Odds
Under
-143

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 50.0% of their opportunities: the 2nd-lowest clip on the slate this week. Opposing QBs teams have been afraid to lean on the pass against the Indianapolis Colts, averaging the 10th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 32.2 per game) since the start of last season. As it relates to pass protection (and the influence it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the Steelers profiles as the 3rd-worst in the league since the start of last season.

George Pickens

Prop: 4.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4.1
Prop:
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4.1

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 50.0% of their opportunities: the 2nd-lowest clip on the slate this week. Opposing QBs teams have been afraid to lean on the pass against the Indianapolis Colts, averaging the 10th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 32.2 per game) since the start of last season. As it relates to pass protection (and the influence it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the Steelers profiles as the 3rd-worst in the league since the start of last season.

Jonathan Taylor Receptions Made Props • Indianapolis

J. Taylor
running back RB • Indianapolis
Prop
1.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2
Best Odds
Over
-169

The projections expect this game to see the 5th-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 130.2 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics. The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop. Jonathan Taylor has run a route on 50.2% of his offense's passing plays since the start of last season, ranking him in the 85th percentile when it comes to running backs. As it relates to protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all passing attack statistics), the O-line of the Indianapolis Colts profiles as the best in football since the start of last season.

Jonathan Taylor

Prop: 1.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2
Prop:
1.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2

The projections expect this game to see the 5th-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 130.2 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics. The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop. Jonathan Taylor has run a route on 50.2% of his offense's passing plays since the start of last season, ranking him in the 85th percentile when it comes to running backs. As it relates to protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all passing attack statistics), the O-line of the Indianapolis Colts profiles as the best in football since the start of last season.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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