NO 14.5 o43.5
GB -14.5 u43.5
Final Dec 19
DEN 27
LAC 34
Final Dec 21
HOU 19 3.5 o42.5
KC 27 -3.5 u42.5
Final Dec 21
PIT 17 7.5 o44.0
BAL 34 -7.5 u44.0
Final Dec 22
DET 34 -6.5 o47.5
CHI 17 6.5 u47.5
Final Dec 22
PHI 33 -4.0 o47.0
WAS 36 4.0 u47.0
Final Dec 22
LA 19 -3.0 o47.0
NYJ 9 3.0 u47.0
Final Dec 22
NYG 7 10.0 o43.0
ATL 34 -10.0 u43.0
Final OT Dec 22
ARI 30 -5.5 o47.0
CAR 36 5.5 u47.0
Final Dec 22
CLE 6 10.0 o45.5
CIN 24 -10.0 u45.5
Final Dec 22
TEN 30 4.0 o43.5
IND 38 -4.0 u43.5
Final Dec 22
MIN 27 -2.5 o43.0
SEA 24 2.5 u43.0
Final Dec 22
JAC 14 2.5 o41.5
LV 19 -2.5 u41.5
Final Dec 22
NE 21 14.0 o47.5
BUF 24 -14.0 u47.5
Final Dec 22
SF 17 -2.0 o44.0
MIA 29 2.0 u44.0
Final Dec 22
TB 24 -4.0 o47.5
DAL 26 4.0 u47.5
New Orleans 3rd NFC South5-9
Atlanta 1st NFC South8-7
FOX

New Orleans @ Atlanta props

Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Kyle Pitts Receptions Made Props • Atlanta

K. Pitts
tight end TE • Atlanta
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3.7
Best Odds
Over
+135

The leading projections forecast the Atlanta Falcons offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 27.23 seconds per snap. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. In this contest, Kyle Pitts is forecasted by the predictive model to land in the 93rd percentile among tight ends with 5.7 targets. Kyle Pitts has been in the 95th percentile for tight end WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive volume) with a superb 43.8 mark since the start of last season. With an impressive 3.0 adjusted catches per game (75th percentile) since the start of last season, Kyle Pitts stands as one of the best tight ends in the pass game in the NFL.

Kyle Pitts

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 3.7
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
3.7

The leading projections forecast the Atlanta Falcons offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 27.23 seconds per snap. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. In this contest, Kyle Pitts is forecasted by the predictive model to land in the 93rd percentile among tight ends with 5.7 targets. Kyle Pitts has been in the 95th percentile for tight end WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive volume) with a superb 43.8 mark since the start of last season. With an impressive 3.0 adjusted catches per game (75th percentile) since the start of last season, Kyle Pitts stands as one of the best tight ends in the pass game in the NFL.

Alvin Kamara Receptions Made Props • New Orleans

A. Kamara
running back RB • New Orleans
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4.5
Best Odds
Over
-148

At a -4-point disadvantage, the Saints are underdogs in this game, suggesting more of an emphasis on throwing than their usual approach. The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop-off. The model projects Alvin Kamara to total 6.5 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 100th percentile among RBs. Alvin Kamara has been heavily involved in his team's passing offense, garnering a Target Share of 19.2% since the start of last season, which places him in the 100th percentile among running backs. Alvin Kamara comes in as one of the best pass-game running backs since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 5.3 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 100th percentile.

Alvin Kamara

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4.5
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4.5

At a -4-point disadvantage, the Saints are underdogs in this game, suggesting more of an emphasis on throwing than their usual approach. The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop-off. The model projects Alvin Kamara to total 6.5 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 100th percentile among RBs. Alvin Kamara has been heavily involved in his team's passing offense, garnering a Target Share of 19.2% since the start of last season, which places him in the 100th percentile among running backs. Alvin Kamara comes in as one of the best pass-game running backs since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 5.3 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 100th percentile.

Chris Olave Receptions Made Props • New Orleans

C. Olave
wide receiver WR • New Orleans
Prop
4.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4.9
Best Odds
Over
-105

At a -4-point disadvantage, the Saints are underdogs in this game, suggesting more of an emphasis on throwing than their usual approach. The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop-off. In this game, Chris Olave is forecasted by our trusted projection set to slot into the 92nd percentile among WRs with 8.7 targets. Chris Olave's 67.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive volume) puts him in the company of the best in the league: 94th percentile for WRs. With a terrific 5.1 adjusted receptions per game (89th percentile) since the start of last season, Chris Olave places as one of the leading wide receivers in the game in the NFL.

Chris Olave

Prop: 4.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4.9
Prop:
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4.9

At a -4-point disadvantage, the Saints are underdogs in this game, suggesting more of an emphasis on throwing than their usual approach. The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop-off. In this game, Chris Olave is forecasted by our trusted projection set to slot into the 92nd percentile among WRs with 8.7 targets. Chris Olave's 67.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive volume) puts him in the company of the best in the league: 94th percentile for WRs. With a terrific 5.1 adjusted receptions per game (89th percentile) since the start of last season, Chris Olave places as one of the leading wide receivers in the game in the NFL.

Drake London Receptions Made Props • Atlanta

D. London
wide receiver WR • Atlanta
Prop
4.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4.9
Best Odds
Over
-147

The leading projections forecast the Atlanta Falcons offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 27.23 seconds per snap. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. Drake London has run a route on 90.7% of his offense's dropbacks since the start of last season, putting him in the 89th percentile when it comes to wide receivers. The leading projections forecast Drake London to total 8.3 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 90th percentile among wideouts. With an impressive 4.4 adjusted catches per game (83rd percentile) since the start of last season, Drake London stands among the best wide receivers in the NFL in the league.

Drake London

Prop: 4.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4.9
Prop:
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4.9

The leading projections forecast the Atlanta Falcons offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 27.23 seconds per snap. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. Drake London has run a route on 90.7% of his offense's dropbacks since the start of last season, putting him in the 89th percentile when it comes to wide receivers. The leading projections forecast Drake London to total 8.3 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 90th percentile among wideouts. With an impressive 4.4 adjusted catches per game (83rd percentile) since the start of last season, Drake London stands among the best wide receivers in the NFL in the league.

Bijan Robinson Receptions Made Props • Atlanta

B. Robinson
running back RB • Atlanta
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3.6
Best Odds
Over
-120

The leading projections forecast the Atlanta Falcons offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 27.23 seconds per snap. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. With a high 69.1% Route Participation% (98th percentile) since the start of last season, Bijan Robinson has been among the pass-game running backs with the most usage in football. In this game, Bijan Robinson is anticipated by the model to secure a spot in the 97th percentile among RBs with 5.5 targets. With a stellar 3.4 adjusted receptions per game (94th percentile) since the start of last season, Bijan Robinson stands as one of the best running backs in the pass game in football.

Bijan Robinson

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 3.6
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
3.6

The leading projections forecast the Atlanta Falcons offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 27.23 seconds per snap. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. With a high 69.1% Route Participation% (98th percentile) since the start of last season, Bijan Robinson has been among the pass-game running backs with the most usage in football. In this game, Bijan Robinson is anticipated by the model to secure a spot in the 97th percentile among RBs with 5.5 targets. With a stellar 3.4 adjusted receptions per game (94th percentile) since the start of last season, Bijan Robinson stands as one of the best running backs in the pass game in football.

A.T. Perry Receptions Made Props • New Orleans

A. Perry
wide receiver WR • New Orleans
Prop
1.5
Receptions Made
Projection
--
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
-130
Under
+100
Prop
1.5 Receptions Made
Season Avg.
--
Best Odds
Over
-130
Under
+100

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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