Los Angeles @ Cleveland props

When talking about protecting the passer (and the importance it has on all passing offense statistics), the offensive line of the Cleveland Browns ranks as the 6th-worst in the league this year. This year, the daunting Chargers defense has allowed a feeble 71.4% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing running backs: the best rate in football.

The 9th-lowest number of plays in the league have been run by the Los Angeles Chargers this year (only 56.1 per game on average). Opposing quarterbacks teams have been unwilling to rely on the passing game too much against the Cleveland Browns, averaging the 6th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 30.4 per game) this year. When it comes to protecting the passer (and the influence it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Los Angeles Chargers ranks as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year. The Browns pass defense has conceded the lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (56.2%) vs. wideouts this year (56.2%).

The leading projections forecast the Browns as the 4th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 62.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by the model to have 135.4 offensive plays called: the 2nd-highest number among all games this week. The 4th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Cleveland Browns this year (a monstrous 60.9 per game on average). Cedric Tillman's 3.1 adjusted catches per game this year marks a noteable improvement in his pass-catching ability over last year's 2.0 mark. The Los Angeles Chargers pass defense has surrendered the 10th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (68.1%) to WRs this year (68.1%).

The leading projections forecast the Browns as the 4th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 62.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by the model to have 135.4 offensive plays called: the 2nd-highest number among all games this week. The 4th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Cleveland Browns this year (a monstrous 60.9 per game on average). In this week's game, David Njoku is predicted by the model to secure a spot in the 97th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 8.2 targets. With a fantastic 5.0 adjusted receptions per game (94th percentile) this year, David Njoku stands as one of the leading tight ends in the pass game in football.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is predicted by the projections to see 135.4 total plays run: the 2nd-most out of all the games this week. This week, J.K. Dobbins is expected by the model to position himself in the 83rd percentile when it comes to running backs with 3.6 targets. J.K. Dobbins has been a key part of his team's passing offense, posting a Target Share of 11.5% this year, which ranks him in the 86th percentile when it comes to RBs. J.K. Dobbins checks in as one of the leading RBs in the pass game this year, averaging a remarkable 2.7 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 82nd percentile. With a terrific 91.2% Adjusted Catch% (82nd percentile) this year, J.K. Dobbins has been among the most reliable receivers in football among RBs.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is predicted by the projections to see 135.4 total plays run: the 2nd-most out of all the games this week. In this game, Will Dissly is forecasted by the projection model to position himself in the 77th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 4.0 targets. Will Dissly's receiving skills have been refined this year, averaging 3.7 adjusted catches compared to a measly 1.4 last year.