PIT -3.5 o37.0
CLE 3.5 u37.0
DET -7.5 o49.5
IND 7.5 u49.5
TEN 9.0 o41.0
HOU -9.0 u41.0
NE 7.5 o46.5
MIA -7.5 u46.5
MIN -3.5 o39.0
CHI 3.5 u39.0
KC -11.0 o43.0
CAR 11.0 u43.0
TB -5.5 o41.5
NYG 5.5 u41.5
DAL 10.5 o45.0
WAS -10.5 u45.0
DEN -6.0 o40.5
LV 6.0 u40.5
SF 2.5 o47.0
GB -2.5 u47.0
ARI 1.0 o48.0
SEA -1.0 u48.0
PHI -3.0 o49.5
LA 3.0 u49.5
BAL -3.0 o51.0
LAC 3.0 u51.0
Seattle 3rd NFC West5-5
Detroit 1st NFC North9-1

Seattle @ Detroit props

Ford Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Kenneth Walker Receptions Made Props • Seattle

K. Walker
running back RB • Seattle
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3
Best Odds
Over
+140

A throwing game script is indicated by the Seahawks being a -6-point underdog in this game. The projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to be the most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 64.5% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. The leading projections forecast this game to have the 2nd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 133.2 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency. With a remarkable 86.3% Adjusted Catch Rate (81st percentile) since the start of last season, Kenneth Walker stands among the best possession receivers in the league when it comes to running backs.

Kenneth Walker

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 3
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
3

A throwing game script is indicated by the Seahawks being a -6-point underdog in this game. The projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to be the most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 64.5% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. The leading projections forecast this game to have the 2nd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 133.2 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency. With a remarkable 86.3% Adjusted Catch Rate (81st percentile) since the start of last season, Kenneth Walker stands among the best possession receivers in the league when it comes to running backs.

Noah Fant Receptions Made Props • Seattle

N. Fant
tight end TE • Seattle
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3.3
Best Odds
Over
-138

A throwing game script is indicated by the Seahawks being a -6-point underdog in this game. The projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to be the most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 64.5% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. The leading projections forecast this game to have the 2nd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 133.2 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency. Noah Fant's 68.8% Route Participation% this season marks a significant improvement in his pass attack workload over last season's 52.2% figure.

Noah Fant

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 3.3
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
3.3

A throwing game script is indicated by the Seahawks being a -6-point underdog in this game. The projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to be the most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 64.5% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. The leading projections forecast this game to have the 2nd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 133.2 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency. Noah Fant's 68.8% Route Participation% this season marks a significant improvement in his pass attack workload over last season's 52.2% figure.

Sam LaPorta Receptions Made Props • Detroit

S. LaPorta
tight end TE • Detroit
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4.7
Best Odds
Over
-170

The projections expect the Detroit Lions to run the most plays on offense among all teams this week with 68.1 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics. The Lions have called the 2nd-most plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a massive 61.2 plays per game. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. With an exceptional 4.6 adjusted catches per game (93rd percentile) since the start of last season, Sam LaPorta ranks among the best tight ends in the pass game in football. Since the start of last season, the poor Seattle Seahawks pass defense has conceded a whopping 77.2% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing TEs: the highest rate in the NFL.

Sam LaPorta

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4.7
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4.7

The projections expect the Detroit Lions to run the most plays on offense among all teams this week with 68.1 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics. The Lions have called the 2nd-most plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a massive 61.2 plays per game. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. With an exceptional 4.6 adjusted catches per game (93rd percentile) since the start of last season, Sam LaPorta ranks among the best tight ends in the pass game in football. Since the start of last season, the poor Seattle Seahawks pass defense has conceded a whopping 77.2% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing TEs: the highest rate in the NFL.

Amon-Ra St. Brown Receptions Made Props • Detroit

A. St. Brown
wide receiver WR • Detroit
Prop
6.5
Receptions Made
Projection
7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
6.5 Receptions Made
Projection
7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

The projections expect the Detroit Lions to run the most plays on offense among all teams this week with 68.1 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics. The Lions have called the 2nd-most plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a massive 61.2 plays per game. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. The leading projections forecast Amon-Ra St. Brown to accrue 10.4 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 100th percentile when it comes to wideouts. Amon-Ra St. Brown has been a big part of his team's passing offense, earning a Target Share of 32.0% this year, which ranks in the 98th percentile among WRs.

Amon-Ra St. Brown

Prop: 6.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 7
Prop:
6.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
7

The projections expect the Detroit Lions to run the most plays on offense among all teams this week with 68.1 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics. The Lions have called the 2nd-most plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a massive 61.2 plays per game. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. The leading projections forecast Amon-Ra St. Brown to accrue 10.4 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 100th percentile when it comes to wideouts. Amon-Ra St. Brown has been a big part of his team's passing offense, earning a Target Share of 32.0% this year, which ranks in the 98th percentile among WRs.

Jahmyr Gibbs Receptions Made Props • Detroit

J. Gibbs
running back RB • Detroit
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3.3
Best Odds
Over
-180

The projections expect the Detroit Lions to run the most plays on offense among all teams this week with 68.1 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics. The Lions have called the 2nd-most plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a massive 61.2 plays per game. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. With a remarkable 57.8% Route Participation% (94th percentile) since the start of last season, Jahmyr Gibbs has been among the pass-game running backs with the biggest workloads in the NFL. Jahmyr Gibbs profiles as one of the best running backs in the pass game since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 3.5 adjusted receptions per game while ranking in the 96th percentile.

Jahmyr Gibbs

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 3.3
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
3.3

The projections expect the Detroit Lions to run the most plays on offense among all teams this week with 68.1 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics. The Lions have called the 2nd-most plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a massive 61.2 plays per game. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. With a remarkable 57.8% Route Participation% (94th percentile) since the start of last season, Jahmyr Gibbs has been among the pass-game running backs with the biggest workloads in the NFL. Jahmyr Gibbs profiles as one of the best running backs in the pass game since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 3.5 adjusted receptions per game while ranking in the 96th percentile.

DK Metcalf Receptions Made Props • Seattle

D. Metcalf
wide receiver WR • Seattle
Prop
4.5
Receptions Made
Projection
5
Best Odds
Over
-160

A throwing game script is indicated by the Seahawks being a -6-point underdog in this game. The projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to be the most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 64.5% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. The leading projections forecast this game to have the 2nd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 133.2 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency. D.K. Metcalf checks in as one of the leading WRs in the league since the start of last season, averaging a remarkable 4.5 adjusted receptions per game while ranking in the 85th percentile.

DK Metcalf

Prop: 4.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 5
Prop:
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
5

A throwing game script is indicated by the Seahawks being a -6-point underdog in this game. The projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to be the most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 64.5% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. The leading projections forecast this game to have the 2nd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 133.2 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency. D.K. Metcalf checks in as one of the leading WRs in the league since the start of last season, averaging a remarkable 4.5 adjusted receptions per game while ranking in the 85th percentile.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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