Los Angeles @ Seattle props

When it comes to pass protection (and the impact it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Rams ranks as the 3rd-worst in the league this year. The Seattle Seahawks pass defense has conceded the 2nd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (76%) vs. running backs this year (76.0%). When it comes to safeties in covering receivers, Seattle's unit has been excellent this year, profiling as the 7th-best in the league.

Opposing offenses have averaged 30.9 pass attempts per game versus the Rams defense this year: 8th-fewest in the NFL. As it relates to pass-blocking (and the significance it has on all passing offense metrics), the O-line of the Seattle Seahawks profiles as the 5th-worst in the league this year. The Los Angeles Rams pass defense has conceded the 5th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (58.8%) to wideouts this year (58.8%).

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the model to see 130.8 plays on offense called: the 4th-most out of all the games this week. The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being called for in this game, while rush volume may slide. Our trusted projections expect Puka Nacua to garner 8.7 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 94th percentile when it comes to wideouts. With a remarkable 6.0 adjusted catches per game (96th percentile) since the start of last season, Puka Nacua stands among the top wide receivers in the game in the league. This year, the weak Seattle Seahawks pass defense has allowed a whopping 69.0% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wide receivers: the 8th-largest rate in the league.

Our trusted projections expect the Seahawks to be the 7th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 60.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 4th-most plays run on the slate this week at 130.8 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics. The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being projected in this game, while ground volume may decline. This year, the feeble Rams pass defense has yielded a monstrous 81.6% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing TEs: the 5th-highest rate in the league. As it relates to linebackers in pass coverage, Los Angeles's LB corps has been awful this year, profiling as the 4th-worst in the NFL.

Our trusted projections expect the Seahawks to be the 7th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 60.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 4th-most plays run on the slate this week at 130.8 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics. The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being projected in this game, while ground volume may decline. In this game, Kenneth Walker is projected by our trusted projection set to slot into the 98th percentile among running backs with 5.5 targets. Kenneth Walker's 4.5 adjusted receptions per game this season conveys a material gain in his receiving talent over last season's 1.9 figure.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the model to see 130.8 plays on offense called: the 4th-most out of all the games this week. The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being called for in this game, while rush volume may slide. Colby Parkinson has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this season (76.4% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (33.3%). The leading projections forecast Colby Parkinson to garner 4.1 targets in this week's game, on balance, placing him in the 79th percentile among TEs. This year, the shaky Seahawks pass defense has yielded a whopping 81.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing tight ends: the 6th-biggest rate in football.