New England @ Tennessee props

A rushing game script is suggested by the Titans being a 3-point favorite in this week's contest. Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Tennessee Titans to pass on 53.8% of their downs: the 8th-lowest frequency on the slate this week. Our trusted projections expect the Titans to call the 2nd-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 61.2 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics. The weather report calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness. Calvin Ridley's 3.1 adjusted catches per game this year indicates a significant decrease in his receiving proficiency over last year's 4.6 mark.

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the New England Patriots to pass on 52.9% of their chances: the 5th-lowest frequency on the slate this week. The model projects the Patriots to call the 3rd-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.6 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics. The New England Patriots have called the 10th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 56.2 plays per game. Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being forecasted in this game) generally cause worse passing effectiveness, reduced pass volume, and higher rush volume. Opposing offenses teams have been disinclined to lean on the pass against the Tennessee Titans, totaling the fewest attempts in football (just 27.9 per game) this year.

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the New England Patriots to pass on 52.9% of their chances: the 5th-lowest frequency on the slate this week. The model projects the Patriots to call the 3rd-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.6 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics. The New England Patriots have called the 10th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 56.2 plays per game. Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being forecasted in this game) generally cause worse passing effectiveness, reduced pass volume, and higher rush volume. Opposing offenses teams have been disinclined to lean on the pass against the Tennessee Titans, totaling the fewest attempts in football (just 27.9 per game) this year.

The Tennessee Titans may throw the ball less in this week's game (and call more rushes) as a result of being be forced to utilize backup quarterback Mason Rudolph. The projections expect Chigoziem Okonkwo to notch 4.0 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 77th percentile among tight ends. Chigoziem Okonkwo's 76.8% Adjusted Completion Rate this season illustrates a noteworthy gain in his pass-catching talent over last season's 71.8% figure. When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, New England's collection of LBs has been very bad this year, ranking as the 3rd-worst in the NFL.

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the New England Patriots to pass on 52.9% of their chances: the 5th-lowest frequency on the slate this week. The model projects the Patriots to call the 3rd-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.6 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics. The New England Patriots have called the 10th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 56.2 plays per game. Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being forecasted in this game) generally cause worse passing effectiveness, reduced pass volume, and higher rush volume. Opposing offenses teams have been disinclined to lean on the pass against the Tennessee Titans, totaling the fewest attempts in football (just 27.9 per game) this year.

The Tennessee Titans may throw the ball less in this week's game (and call more rushes) as a result of being be forced to utilize backup quarterback Mason Rudolph. In this week's contest, Tony Pollard is predicted by our trusted projection set to find himself in the 87th percentile among RBs with 4.0 targets. Tony Pollard has been heavily involved in his team's passing offense, posting a Target Share of 13.7% this year, which places him in the 95th percentile when it comes to RBs. Tony Pollard rates as one of the leading pass-catching running backs this year, averaging a remarkable 3.0 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 90th percentile. When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, New England's collection of LBs has been very bad this year, ranking as the 3rd-worst in the NFL.