Jacksonville @ Las Vegas props

The Jacksonville Jaguars will be starting backup QB Mac Jones in this week's contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes. Our trusted projections expect the Jaguars offense to be the 6th-quickest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 26.59 seconds per snap. The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop. The projections expect Brenton Strange to accrue 7.1 targets this week, on balance, putting him in the 95th percentile when it comes to TEs. The predictive model expects Brenton Strange to be a more important option in his offense's air attack in this week's contest (20.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (10.5% in games he has played).

The Jacksonville Jaguars will be starting backup QB Mac Jones in this week's contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes. Our trusted projections expect the Jaguars offense to be the 6th-quickest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 26.59 seconds per snap. The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop. In this game, Travis Etienne is predicted by the model to finish in the 92nd percentile among RBs with 4.4 targets. When it comes to protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all air attack statistics), the O-line of the Jacksonville Jaguars grades out as the 7th-best in the league this year.

The Jacksonville Jaguars will be starting backup QB Mac Jones in this week's contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes. Our trusted projections expect the Jaguars offense to be the 6th-quickest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 26.59 seconds per snap. The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop. When it comes to protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all air attack statistics), the O-line of the Jacksonville Jaguars grades out as the 7th-best in the league this year. When it comes to linebackers in covering receivers, Las Vegas's unit has been lousy this year, projecting as the 2nd-worst in the league.

The Las Vegas Raiders will be starting backup quarterback Aidan O'Connell this week, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Raiders to pass on 62.6% of their opportunities: the 3rd-greatest rate on the slate this week. The projections expect the Las Vegas Raiders to call the 8th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 65.9 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics. The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, inducing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 7th-most passes in the league (36.1 per game) this year. Jakobi Meyers's play as a receiver has gotten a boost this year, notching 5.8 adjusted receptions vs a measly 4.5 last year.

The Las Vegas Raiders will be starting backup quarterback Aidan O'Connell this week, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Raiders to pass on 62.6% of their opportunities: the 3rd-greatest rate on the slate this week. The projections expect the Las Vegas Raiders to call the 8th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 65.9 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics. The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, inducing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 7th-most passes in the league (36.1 per game) this year. Alexander Mattison's receiving reliability have improved this year, with his Adjusted Catch% rising from 71.3% to 84.7%.

The Las Vegas Raiders will be starting backup quarterback Aidan O'Connell this week, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Raiders to pass on 62.6% of their opportunities: the 3rd-greatest rate on the slate this week. The projections expect the Las Vegas Raiders to call the 8th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 65.9 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics. The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer. The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, inducing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 7th-most passes in the league (36.1 per game) this year.