Philadelphia @ Dallas props

The predictive model expects the Eagles to run the 3rd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.3 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics. The 8th-largest volume of plays in football have been called by the Eagles this year (a massive 59.8 per game on average). The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer. In this contest, Dallas Goedert is predicted by the model to land in the 87th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 5.5 targets. Dallas Goedert comes in as one of the leading TEs in the pass game this year, averaging a remarkable 4.8 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 90th percentile.

An extreme rushing game script is implied by the Eagles being a massive 7.5-point favorite in this week's contest. Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Eagles to pass on 50.8% of their chances: the lowest clip on the slate this week. Opposing offenses have averaged 28.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Dallas Cowboys defense this year: fewest in the NFL. Saquon Barkley's 21.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive volume) has been notably worse this season than it was last season at 27.4.

The Dallas Cowboys will be starting backup QB Cooper Rush in this game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes. The Cowboys are an enormous 7.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script. Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Dallas Cowboys to pass on 63.0% of their plays: the 3rd-highest clip on the slate this week. The projections expect this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 132.0 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics. The Cowboys have called the 5th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a massive 60.8 plays per game.

The Dallas Cowboys will be starting backup QB Cooper Rush in this game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes. The Cowboys are an enormous 7.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script. Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Dallas Cowboys to pass on 63.0% of their plays: the 3rd-highest clip on the slate this week. The projections expect this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 132.0 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics. Jake Ferguson's play as a receiver has been refined this season, compiling 5.5 adjusted catches vs a mere 4.2 last season.

The predictive model expects the Eagles to run the 3rd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.3 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics. The 8th-largest volume of plays in football have been called by the Eagles this year (a massive 59.8 per game on average). The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer. The leading projections forecast A.J. Brown to notch 8.4 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 91st percentile among wide receivers. A.J. Brown has been a big part of his team's passing attack, posting a Target Share of 31.7% this year, which places him in the 99th percentile among WRs.

The Dallas Cowboys will be starting backup QB Cooper Rush in this game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes. The Cowboys are an enormous 7.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script. Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Dallas Cowboys to pass on 63.0% of their plays: the 3rd-highest clip on the slate this week. The projections expect this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 132.0 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics. The Cowboys have called the 5th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a massive 60.8 plays per game.