Green Bay @ Chicago props

This game's spread implies a running game script for the Packers, who are favored by 6 points. Josh Jacobs's 12.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive volume) has been significantly lower this year than it was last year at 20.5. As it relates to safeties in pass coverage, Chicago's unit has been excellent this year, grading out as the 3rd-best in football.

A throwing game script is suggested by the Bears being a -6-point underdog this week. Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Bears are predicted by the model to call 67.3 offensive plays in this game: the 3rd-most on the slate this week. The 7th-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Chicago Bears this year (a colossal 59.9 per game on average). Our trusted projections expect D.J. Moore to garner 8.2 targets in this week's contest, on balance, putting him in the 89th percentile among WRs. The Bears offensive line ranks as the 6th-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong influence on all passing offense statistics across the board.

This game's spread implies a running game script for the Packers, who are favored by 6 points. The Bears pass defense has conceded the 7th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (60.6%) to WRs this year (60.6%). As it relates to safeties in pass coverage, Chicago's unit has been excellent this year, grading out as the 3rd-best in football.

This game's spread implies a running game script for the Packers, who are favored by 6 points. As it relates to safeties in pass coverage, Chicago's unit has been excellent this year, grading out as the 3rd-best in football.

A throwing game script is suggested by the Bears being a -6-point underdog this week. Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Bears are predicted by the model to call 67.3 offensive plays in this game: the 3rd-most on the slate this week. The 7th-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Chicago Bears this year (a colossal 59.9 per game on average). The Bears offensive line ranks as the 6th-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong influence on all passing offense statistics across the board. This year, the poor Packers pass defense has been gouged for a staggering 80.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing tight ends: the 4th-largest rate in football.

A throwing game script is suggested by the Bears being a -6-point underdog this week. Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Bears are predicted by the model to call 67.3 offensive plays in this game: the 3rd-most on the slate this week. The 7th-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Chicago Bears this year (a colossal 59.9 per game on average). The projections expect D'Andre Swift to accumulate 3.7 targets in this game, on balance, putting him in the 86th percentile when it comes to RBs. D'Andre Swift has been one of the best pass-game RBs this year, averaging a remarkable 2.9 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 85th percentile.