Denver @ Los Angeles props

With a 63.4% rate of throwing the ball (in a neutral context) this year, the 7th-most pass-heavy team in the league has been the Broncos. Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Denver Broncos are anticipated by the projections to call 65.9 plays on offense in this game: the 8th-highest number among all teams this week. The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while rush volume may drop. When it comes to protecting the passer (and the strong effect it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Denver Broncos profiles as the best in the NFL this year.

The predictive model expects the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 5th-most pass-centric team in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 63.3% pass rate. The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being called for in this game, while rush volume may fall-off. Opposing offenses have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Broncos defense this year: 3rd-most in the league. Gus Edwards is positioned as one of the most sure-handed receivers in the NFL when it comes to RBs, hauling in a fantastic 91.7% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, ranking in the 76th percentile. This year, the porous Denver Broncos pass defense has yielded a staggering 88.6% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing RBs: the 6th-biggest rate in the NFL.

Courtland Sutton's receiving reliability have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate shrinking from 68.4% to 60.3%. When it comes to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Los Angeles's group of safeties has been great this year, grading out as the 4th-best in the NFL.

Our trusted projections expect the Chargers offense to be the 9th-slowest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 28.81 seconds per play. This year, the stout Broncos defense has allowed a meager 69.9% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing TEs: the 5th-lowest rate in the league. As it relates to safeties in pass coverage, Denver's collection of safeties has been tremendous this year, ranking as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

With a 63.4% rate of throwing the ball (in a neutral context) this year, the 7th-most pass-heavy team in the league has been the Broncos. Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Denver Broncos are anticipated by the projections to call 65.9 plays on offense in this game: the 8th-highest number among all teams this week. The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while rush volume may drop. Javonte Williams's 44.1% Route Participation% this season indicates an impressive gain in his air attack workload over last season's 29.4% mark. The leading projections forecast Javonte Williams to accumulate 4.5 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 93rd percentile when it comes to running backs.

The predictive model expects the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 5th-most pass-centric team in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 63.3% pass rate. The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being called for in this game, while rush volume may fall-off. Opposing offenses have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Broncos defense this year: 3rd-most in the league.