TEN 4.0 o42.5
IND -4.0 u42.5
PHI -4.0 o46.5
WAS 4.0 u46.5
LA -3.0 o47.0
NYJ 3.0 u47.0
CLE 10.0 o47.0
CIN -10.0 u47.0
NYG 10.0 o43.0
ATL -10.0 u43.0
ARI -5.0 o47.0
CAR 5.0 u47.0
DET -6.5 o47.0
CHI 6.5 u47.0
MIN -3.0 o42.5
SEA 3.0 u42.5
NE 14.0 o46.5
BUF -14.0 u46.5
JAC 2.5 o41.5
LV -2.5 u41.5
SF -1.0 o45.0
MIA 1.0 u45.0
TB -4.0 o48.0
DAL 4.0 u48.0
NO 14.0 o42.0
GB -14.0 u42.0
Final Dec 19
DEN 27
LAC 34
Final Dec 21
HOU 19 3.5 o42.5
KC 27 -3.5 u42.5
Final Dec 21
PIT 17 7.5 o44.0
BAL 34 -7.5 u44.0
Tennessee 4th AFC South3-11
Los Angeles 2nd AFC West9-6
FOX

Tennessee @ Los Angeles props

SoFi Stadium

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Will Dissly Receptions Made Props • L.A. Chargers

W. Dissly
tight end TE • L.A. Chargers
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3.2
Best Odds
Over
-150

Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being predicted in this game) usually mean increased passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased air volume, and reduced rush volume. The projections expect Will Dissly to total 4.4 targets this week, on balance, putting him in the 77th percentile among tight ends. Will Dissly has been much more involved in his offense's pass game this year (16.7% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (3.5%). Will Dissly's 3.5 adjusted catches per game this season marks a remarkable progression in his pass-catching ability over last season's 1.4 rate. This year, the feeble Tennessee Titans pass defense has given up a staggering 79.0% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing TEs: the 10th-highest rate in the NFL.

Will Dissly

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 3.2
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
3.2

Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being predicted in this game) usually mean increased passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased air volume, and reduced rush volume. The projections expect Will Dissly to total 4.4 targets this week, on balance, putting him in the 77th percentile among tight ends. Will Dissly has been much more involved in his offense's pass game this year (16.7% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (3.5%). Will Dissly's 3.5 adjusted catches per game this season marks a remarkable progression in his pass-catching ability over last season's 1.4 rate. This year, the feeble Tennessee Titans pass defense has given up a staggering 79.0% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing TEs: the 10th-highest rate in the NFL.

Chig Okonkwo Receptions Made Props • Tennessee

C. Okonkwo
tight end TE • Tennessee
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.8
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection
2.8
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

This game's spread suggests an extreme passing game script for the Titans, who are heavy -8-point underdogs. Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being called for in this game) generally cause better passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher pass volume, and lower rush volume. Chigoziem Okonkwo's sure-handedness have improved this season, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 71.8% to 76.4%.

Chig Okonkwo

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2.8
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2.8

This game's spread suggests an extreme passing game script for the Titans, who are heavy -8-point underdogs. Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being called for in this game) generally cause better passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher pass volume, and lower rush volume. Chigoziem Okonkwo's sure-handedness have improved this season, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 71.8% to 76.4%.

Calvin Ridley Receptions Made Props • Tennessee

C. Ridley
wide receiver WR • Tennessee
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4.1
Best Odds
Over
-161

This game's spread suggests an extreme passing game script for the Titans, who are heavy -8-point underdogs. Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being called for in this game) generally cause better passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher pass volume, and lower rush volume. In this week's game, Calvin Ridley is projected by the projection model to find himself in the 90th percentile when it comes to WRs with 8.2 targets. Calvin Ridley ranks in the 95th percentile for wide receiver WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive involvement) with a whopping 68.0 figure this year.

Calvin Ridley

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4.1
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4.1

This game's spread suggests an extreme passing game script for the Titans, who are heavy -8-point underdogs. Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being called for in this game) generally cause better passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher pass volume, and lower rush volume. In this week's game, Calvin Ridley is projected by the projection model to find himself in the 90th percentile when it comes to WRs with 8.2 targets. Calvin Ridley ranks in the 95th percentile for wide receiver WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive involvement) with a whopping 68.0 figure this year.

Tony Pollard Receptions Made Props • Tennessee

T. Pollard
running back RB • Tennessee
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.5
Best Odds
Over
+100

This game's spread suggests an extreme passing game script for the Titans, who are heavy -8-point underdogs. Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being called for in this game) generally cause better passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher pass volume, and lower rush volume. With an extraordinary 58.3% Route Participation Rate (94th percentile) this year, Tony Pollard ranks among the pass-catching RBs with the biggest workloads in the league. The model projects Tony Pollard to accumulate 3.5 targets in this game, on balance, placing him in the 81st percentile when it comes to RBs. Tony Pollard ranks as one of the top pass-catching running backs this year, averaging an outstanding 3.0 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 91st percentile.

Tony Pollard

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2.5
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2.5

This game's spread suggests an extreme passing game script for the Titans, who are heavy -8-point underdogs. Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being called for in this game) generally cause better passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher pass volume, and lower rush volume. With an extraordinary 58.3% Route Participation Rate (94th percentile) this year, Tony Pollard ranks among the pass-catching RBs with the biggest workloads in the league. The model projects Tony Pollard to accumulate 3.5 targets in this game, on balance, placing him in the 81st percentile when it comes to RBs. Tony Pollard ranks as one of the top pass-catching running backs this year, averaging an outstanding 3.0 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 91st percentile.

Ladd McConkey Receptions Made Props • L.A. Chargers

L. McConkey
wide receiver WR • L.A. Chargers
Prop
4.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4.9
Best Odds
Over
-150

Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being predicted in this game) usually mean increased passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased air volume, and reduced rush volume.

Ladd McConkey

Prop: 4.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4.9
Prop:
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4.9

Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being predicted in this game) usually mean increased passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased air volume, and reduced rush volume.

J.K. Dobbins Receptions Made Props • L.A. Chargers

J. Dobbins
running back RB • L.A. Chargers
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.5
Best Odds
Over
-103

Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being predicted in this game) usually mean increased passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased air volume, and reduced rush volume. With a high 51.1% Route Participation Rate (85th percentile) this year, J.K. Dobbins places among the pass-game running backs with the highest volume in the NFL. In this week's game, J.K. Dobbins is anticipated by our trusted projection set to rank in the 76th percentile when it comes to RBs with 3.4 targets. J.K. Dobbins checks in as one of the top RBs in the pass game this year, averaging a fantastic 2.6 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 81st percentile. With an excellent 92.1% Adjusted Completion Rate (81st percentile) this year, J.K. Dobbins places as one of the most reliable receivers in the NFL among RBs.

J.K. Dobbins

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2.5
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2.5

Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being predicted in this game) usually mean increased passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased air volume, and reduced rush volume. With a high 51.1% Route Participation Rate (85th percentile) this year, J.K. Dobbins places among the pass-game running backs with the highest volume in the NFL. In this week's game, J.K. Dobbins is anticipated by our trusted projection set to rank in the 76th percentile when it comes to RBs with 3.4 targets. J.K. Dobbins checks in as one of the top RBs in the pass game this year, averaging a fantastic 2.6 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 81st percentile. With an excellent 92.1% Adjusted Completion Rate (81st percentile) this year, J.K. Dobbins places as one of the most reliable receivers in the NFL among RBs.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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