San Francisco @ Miami props

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 122.2 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. Opposing teams teams have been hesitant to pass too much against the San Francisco 49ers, totaling the 4th-fewest attempts in the league (just 30.7 per game) this year. The 49ers linebackers rank as the best LB corps in the league this year in defending pass-catchers.

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 122.2 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. Opposing teams teams have been hesitant to pass too much against the San Francisco 49ers, totaling the 4th-fewest attempts in the league (just 30.7 per game) this year. Tyreek Hill's 60.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially worse this season than it was last season at 77.5. Tyreek Hill's 4.7 adjusted catches per game this year represents a material decrease in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 7.4 mark. Tyreek Hill's 65.1% Adjusted Completion% this season indicates a noteworthy reduction in his pass-catching ability over last season's 71.2% rate.

This week, Jauan Jennings is projected by our trusted projection set to find himself in the 86th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 8.2 targets. Jauan Jennings's 26.1% Target Share this year signifies a significant gain in his pass game usage over last year's 8.8% rate. Jauan Jennings's receiving skills have been refined this season, compiling 5.1 adjusted catches compared to a measly 1.6 last season. Jauan Jennings's 71.4% Adjusted Catch% this season represents an impressive gain in his pass-catching talent over last season's 64.5% mark. The Miami Dolphins pass defense has allowed the 4th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (69.7%) to WRs this year (69.7%).

The model projects Patrick Taylor to be a more important option in his offense's air attack in this contest (7.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (1.9% in games he has played). The Dolphins linebackers project as the 9th-worst unit in the league this year in defending pass-catchers.

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Miami Dolphins to pass on 62.3% of their opportunities: the 4th-highest rate among all teams this week. The Miami Dolphins have run the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a staggering 60.0 plays per game. In this week's contest, Jonnu Smith is forecasted by the projection model to find himself in the 97th percentile when it comes to TEs with 8.2 targets. Jonnu Smith's 38.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive usage) has been significantly higher this season than it was last season at 28.8. Jonnu Smith's 5.0 adjusted receptions per game this season marks a substantial gain in his receiving prowess over last season's 3.3 mark.

In this week's contest, George Kittle is anticipated by the projection model to slot into the 94th percentile when it comes to TEs with 6.9 targets. George Kittle's 50.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the best in football: 97th percentile for TEs. George Kittle's 5.1 adjusted receptions per game this season reflects a meaningful progression in his receiving skills over last season's 4.0 figure. George Kittle's 83.3% Adjusted Catch Rate this season signifies a material improvement in his receiving proficiency over last season's 72.7% mark. The Dolphins linebackers project as the 9th-worst unit in the league this year in defending pass-catchers.