Tampa Bay @ Dallas props

A running game script is suggested by the Buccaneers being a 4-point favorite this week. Opposing QBs teams have been afraid to pass too much against the Dallas Cowboys, averaging the 5th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 31.1 per game) this year.

The Cowboys may rely on the pass game less this week (and hand the ball off more) given that they be rolling out backup QB Cooper Rush. The Cowboys are a 4-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to a passing game script. Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Dallas Cowboys to pass on 61.8% of their chances: the 6th-greatest clip on the slate this week. Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Dallas Cowboys are forecasted by the projection model to call 67.0 offensive plays in this contest: the 6th-highest number among all teams this week. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 40.4 pass attempts per game against the Buccaneers defense this year: most in the NFL.

A running game script is suggested by the Buccaneers being a 4-point favorite this week. Opposing QBs teams have been afraid to pass too much against the Dallas Cowboys, averaging the 5th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 31.1 per game) this year. This year, the tough Dallas Cowboys defense has yielded a paltry 79.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing RBs: the 6th-smallest rate in the league.

The Cowboys may rely on the pass game less this week (and hand the ball off more) given that they be rolling out backup QB Cooper Rush. The Cowboys are a 4-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to a passing game script. Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Dallas Cowboys to pass on 61.8% of their chances: the 6th-greatest clip on the slate this week. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 40.4 pass attempts per game against the Buccaneers defense this year: most in the NFL. Jake Ferguson ranks as one of the leading pass-catching TEs this year, averaging a remarkable 4.3 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 89th percentile.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is projected by the model to see 132.6 plays on offense called: the 5th-highest number out of all the games this week. The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may suffer. The Tampa Bay O-line ranks as the 4th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all passing game stats across the board. The Dallas Cowboys pass defense has allowed the 7th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (79.4%) versus TEs this year (79.4%). The Cowboys linebackers project as the 7th-worst collection of LBs in football this year in covering receivers.

The Cowboys may rely on the pass game less this week (and hand the ball off more) given that they be rolling out backup QB Cooper Rush. The Cowboys are a 4-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to a passing game script. Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Dallas Cowboys to pass on 61.8% of their chances: the 6th-greatest clip on the slate this week. Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Dallas Cowboys are forecasted by the projection model to call 67.0 offensive plays in this contest: the 6th-highest number among all teams this week. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 40.4 pass attempts per game against the Buccaneers defense this year: most in the NFL.