Los Angeles @ New York props

The 7th-lowest number of plays in football have been called by the New York Jets this year (just 55.6 per game on average). Opposing QBs teams have been wary to rely on the passing game too much against the Los Angeles Rams, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in football (just 32.5 per game) this year. Davante Adams has been a much smaller piece of his team's air attack this season (28.5% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (35.2%). The Rams pass defense has conceded the lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (57.9%) vs. WRs this year (57.9%).

A running game script is implied by the Rams being a 3-point favorite in this game. Puka Nacua has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this year (68.5% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last year (91.7%). When talking about pass-blocking (and the influence it has on all passing offense statistics), the O-line of the Los Angeles Rams profiles as the 3rd-worst in football this year. The Jets pass defense has allowed the 8th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (62.6%) to wideouts this year (62.6%).

The 7th-lowest number of plays in football have been called by the New York Jets this year (just 55.6 per game on average). Opposing QBs teams have been wary to rely on the passing game too much against the Los Angeles Rams, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in football (just 32.5 per game) this year. This year, the daunting Rams defense has given up a paltry 72.9% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing tight ends: the 9th-smallest rate in football. When it comes to defensive ends getting after the quarterback, Los Angeles's DE corps has been one of the most skilled this year, grading out as the 2nd-best in football.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by our trusted projection set to have 133.4 total plays run: the 3rd-highest number on the slate this week. Kyren Williams's 88.6% Adjusted Catch Rate this season indicates an impressive boost in his pass-catching talent over last season's 68.1% rate. As it relates to defensive ends pass-rushing, New York's unit has been atrocious this year, profiling as the 5th-worst in the league.

The Jets are a 3-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script. Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the New York Jets to pass on 61.9% of their plays: the 5th-greatest clip on the slate this week. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is expected by our trusted projection set to have 133.4 offensive plays called: the 3rd-highest number on the slate this week. Breece Hall's 61.4% Route% this year marks an impressive gain in his passing game workload over last year's 47.8% figure. In this week's game, Breece Hall is projected by the predictive model to place in the 90th percentile among running backs with 4.3 targets.