Seattle @ Chicago props

With respect to a defense's influence on tempo, at 28.85 seconds per snap, the model projects the Chicago Bears as the 5th-most sluggish in football (adjusted for context) at the present time. D.J. Moore's 58.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that measures high-value offensive volume) has been significantly lower this year than it was last year at 76.9. D.J. Moore's ball-catching skills have diminished this year, with his Adjusted Completion% shrinking from 73.2% to 69.6%. As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Seattle's unit has been tremendous this year, projecting as the 6th-best in football.

With a 5-point advantage, the Seahawks are favored in this game, indicating more of an emphasis on running than their usual game plan. When it comes to pass protection (and the ramifications it has on all air attack statistics), the O-line of the Seattle Seahawks grades out as the 4th-worst in football this year. The Chicago Bears pass defense has allowed the 10th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (64%) vs. wideouts this year (64.0%).

With a 5-point advantage, the Seahawks are favored in this game, indicating more of an emphasis on running than their usual game plan. When it comes to pass protection (and the ramifications it has on all air attack statistics), the O-line of the Seattle Seahawks grades out as the 4th-worst in football this year.

The Bears are a 5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script. D'Andre Swift has run a route on 50.9% of his team's dropbacks this year, putting him in the 89th percentile among running backs. In this game, D'Andre Swift is predicted by the projections to position himself in the 77th percentile when it comes to RBs with 3.1 targets. The Chicago O-line profiles as the 2nd-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong effect on all passing attack metrics across the board. D'Andre Swift's 87.9% Adjusted Completion% this season conveys a meaningful boost in his receiving talent over last season's 83.0% figure.

The Bears are a 5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script. The Chicago O-line profiles as the 2nd-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong effect on all passing attack metrics across the board. With a stellar 85.4% Adjusted Catch Rate (96th percentile) this year, Cole Kmet ranks as one of the most sure-handed receivers in football among TEs.

Our trusted projections expect the Seahawks to be the 5th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now with a 63.4% pass rate. At the present time, the 9th-quickest paced offense in football (in a neutral context) according to the model is the Seattle Seahawks. In this week's contest, Zach Charbonnet is expected by the projections to secure a spot in the 95th percentile when it comes to running backs with 4.8 targets. Our trusted projections expect Zach Charbonnet to be much more involved in his offense's pass game this week (14.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (8.7% in games he has played). With an excellent 2.6 adjusted receptions per game (78th percentile) this year, Zach Charbonnet rates among the leading pass-game running backs in the league.