New York @ Buffalo props

An extreme rushing game script is indicated by the Bills being a massive 10-point favorite this week. The leading projections forecast the Buffalo Bills as the 6th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 51.4% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. Our trusted projections expect this game to see the lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 127.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. The Buffalo Bills have run the 2nd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a lowly 54.3 plays per game. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 32.6 pass attempts per game against the Jets defense this year: 7th-fewest in the league.

The projections expect this game to have the smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 127.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. The New York Jets have called the 7th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 55.9 plays per game. The weather report calls for 18-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency. Breece Hall's 77.7% Adjusted Catch% this year represents a noteworthy reduction in his receiving talent over last year's 85.1% rate. The Buffalo Bills pass defense has conceded the 5th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (78.8%) vs. RBs this year (78.8%).

The projections expect this game to have the smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 127.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. The New York Jets have called the 7th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 55.9 plays per game. The weather report calls for 18-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency. This year, the formidable Bills defense has allowed a paltry 72.1% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing tight ends: the 7th-best rate in the NFL.

An extreme rushing game script is indicated by the Bills being a massive 10-point favorite this week. The leading projections forecast the Buffalo Bills as the 6th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 51.4% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. Our trusted projections expect this game to see the lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 127.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. The Buffalo Bills have run the 2nd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a lowly 54.3 plays per game. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 32.6 pass attempts per game against the Jets defense this year: 7th-fewest in the league.

An extreme rushing game script is indicated by the Bills being a massive 10-point favorite this week. The leading projections forecast the Buffalo Bills as the 6th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 51.4% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. Our trusted projections expect this game to see the lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 127.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 32.6 pass attempts per game against the Jets defense this year: 7th-fewest in the league. Dalton Kincaid's receiving performance has worsened this season, accumulating just 3.5 adjusted catches vs 4.6 last season.

The Jets are a heavy 10-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme passing game script. The projections expect the Jets as the 4th-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 62.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. The Buffalo Bills defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, compelling opposing teams to attempt the 8th-most passes in football (36.0 per game) this year. In this game, Davante Adams is anticipated by the projections to finish in the 96th percentile when it comes to WRs with 9.8 targets. With a terrific 6.2 adjusted receptions per game (95th percentile) this year, Davante Adams rates as one of the best WRs in the game in football.