Tampa Bay @ New Orleans props

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Buccaneers to pass on 62.3% of their opportunities: the 3rd-highest frequency on the slate this week. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness. The New Orleans Saints defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, leading opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 3rd-most passes in football (41.4 per game) this year. In this week's contest, Rachaad White is forecasted by our trusted projection set to position himself in the 93rd percentile among RBs with 4.4 targets. Rachaad White checks in as one of the best RB receiving threats this year, averaging an outstanding 3.4 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 90th percentile.

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Saints to pass on 53.8% of their plays: the 6th-lowest rate on the slate this week. Juwan Johnson's 55.4% Route Participation Rate this season reflects a significant decline in his pass game usage over last season's 67.1% figure. When it comes to pass protection (and the significance it has on all passing game metrics), the offensive line of the New Orleans Saints profiles as the worst in the league this year.

The New Orleans Saints will be rolling out backup QB Spencer Rattler in this contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes. In terms of a defense's influence on pace, at 27.62 seconds per play, the model projects the Saints to be the 6th-quickest in the league (in a neutral context) right now. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency. Opposing teams have averaged 43.0 pass attempts per game versus the Buccaneers defense this year: 2nd-most in football. Chris Olave grades out as one of the top wide receivers in the league this year, averaging a terrific 4.4 adjusted catches per game while ranking in the 77th percentile.

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Buccaneers to pass on 62.1% of their opportunities: the 3rd-highest frequency on the slate this week. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness. The New Orleans Saints defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, leading opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 3rd-most passes in football (41.4 per game) this year. As it relates to linebackers getting after the quarterback, New Orleans's unit has been awful this year, projecting as the 2nd-worst in football.

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Buccaneers to pass on 62.1% of their opportunities: the 3rd-highest frequency on the slate this week. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness. The New Orleans Saints defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, leading opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 3rd-most passes in football (41.4 per game) this year. Cade Otton has run a route on 84.7% of his offense's dropbacks this year, putting him in the 98th percentile among TEs. With an exceptional 3.4 adjusted receptions per game (85th percentile) this year, Cade Otton ranks among the best TE receiving threats in the NFL.

The New Orleans Saints will be rolling out backup QB Spencer Rattler in this contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes. In terms of a defense's influence on pace, at 27.62 seconds per play, the model projects the Saints to be the 6th-quickest in the league (in a neutral context) right now. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency. Opposing teams have averaged 43.0 pass attempts per game versus the Buccaneers defense this year: 2nd-most in football. Alvin Kamara has gone out for more passes this year (66.9% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (53.6%).

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Buccaneers to pass on 62.1% of their opportunities: the 3rd-highest frequency on the slate this week. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness. The New Orleans Saints defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, leading opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 3rd-most passes in football (41.4 per game) this year. In this game, Chris Godwin is anticipated by the predictive model to finish in the 96th percentile among WRs with 9.3 targets. Chris Godwin's receiving talent has gotten a boost this season, totaling 6.4 adjusted receptions compared to a measly 4.9 last season.