Green Bay @ Minnesota props

Right now, the 9th-slowest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Vikings. This year, the fierce Green Bay Packers defense has surrendered a meager 80.6% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing RBs: the 10th-best rate in the league. As it relates to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Green Bay's unit has been outstanding this year, profiling as the 2nd-best in the league.

The model projects the Vikings to be the 4th-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 62.9% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may go down. With a remarkable 99.1% Route Participation% (100th percentile) this year, Justin Jefferson has been as one of the wideouts with the most usage in the league. The projections expect Justin Jefferson to garner 11.4 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 99th percentile when it comes to WRs. Justin Jefferson has been one of the top WRs in the NFL this year, averaging an exceptional 6.1 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 94th percentile.

The model projects the Green Bay Packers as the 9th-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 59.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness. Opposing teams have averaged 38.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Vikings defense this year: 3rd-most in the NFL. The model projects Josh Jacobs to garner 3.9 targets this week, on balance, placing him in the 86th percentile among running backs. Josh Jacobs's 88.2% Adjusted Completion Rate this season reflects a significant improvement in his pass-catching ability over last season's 69.0% figure.

The model projects the Green Bay Packers as the 9th-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 59.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness. Opposing teams have averaged 38.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Vikings defense this year: 3rd-most in the NFL. Tucker Kraft's 83.4% Route Participation Rate this year conveys a significant progression in his passing game volume over last year's 44.0% mark. Tucker Kraft comes in as one of the best possession receivers in football among tight ends, completing an impressive 81.6% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, checking in at the 79th percentile.

The model projects the Vikings to be the 4th-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 62.9% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may go down. The leading projections forecast T.J. Hockenson to accumulate 6.7 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 95th percentile when it comes to tight ends. This year, the feeble Green Bay Packers pass defense has yielded a colossal 78.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing TEs: the 9th-biggest rate in football.

The model projects the Green Bay Packers as the 9th-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 59.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness. Opposing teams have averaged 38.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Vikings defense this year: 3rd-most in the NFL. Jayden Reed's 74.5% Route% this year conveys a noteworthy growth in his passing game usage over last year's 63.4% figure. Jayden Reed's 76.9% Adjusted Completion% this year reflects a noteable improvement in his receiving ability over last year's 72.1% rate.

Romeo Doubs has gone over 3.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Dontayvion Wicks has gone over 3.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Jalen Nailor has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.

Jordan Addison has gone over 4.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.