Arizona @ Green Bay props

With a 5-point advantage, the Packers are favored in this game, suggesting more of an emphasis on rushing than their typical game plan. Opposing quarterbacks teams have been hesitant to pass too much against the Cardinals, averaging the 4th-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 28.6 per game) this year. Josh Jacobs's 7.4% Target% this year marks a substantial decline in his pass attack usage over last year's 12.7% rate. Josh Jacobs's 1.6 adjusted catches per game this season reflects a material regression in his pass-catching skills over last season's 2.8 rate.

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Arizona Cardinals to pass on 54.8% of their downs: the 7th-lowest frequency among all teams this week. The Arizona Cardinals have run the 7th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging just 54.0 plays per game. As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Green Bay's group of safeties has been phenomenal this year, grading out as the 5th-best in football.

With a 5-point advantage, the Packers are favored in this game, suggesting more of an emphasis on rushing than their typical game plan. Opposing quarterbacks teams have been hesitant to pass too much against the Cardinals, averaging the 4th-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 28.6 per game) this year.

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Arizona Cardinals to pass on 54.8% of their downs: the 7th-lowest frequency among all teams this week. The Arizona Cardinals have run the 7th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging just 54.0 plays per game.

Our trusted projections expect the Packers to be the 4th-most pass-heavy offense in the league (in a neutral context) right now with a 64.1% pass rate. Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projection model to have 133.6 plays on offense run: the highest number on the slate this week. Tucker Kraft's 76.8% Route Participation Rate this season represents a material gain in his pass game usage over last season's 44.0% rate. The projections expect Tucker Kraft to earn 6.1 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 93rd percentile when it comes to TEs. With a fantastic 3.2 adjusted catches per game (81st percentile) this year, Tucker Kraft rates among the best pass-game TEs in football.

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Arizona Cardinals to pass on 54.8% of their downs: the 7th-lowest frequency among all teams this week. The Arizona Cardinals have run the 7th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging just 54.0 plays per game. Trey McBride's 68.7% Adjusted Completion Rate this season marks a noteable drop-off in his receiving proficiency over last season's 76.3% figure. As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Green Bay's group of safeties has been phenomenal this year, grading out as the 5th-best in football.

Ben Sims has gone over 0.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.

Greg Dortch has gone over 2.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Michael Wilson has gone over 3.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Emanuel Wilson has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Dontayvion Wicks has gone over 2.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Christian Watson has gone over 1.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Romeo Doubs has gone over 3.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Elijah Higgins has gone over 1.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.