Las Vegas @ New Orleans props

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Raiders to pass on 60.8% of their plays: the 6th-greatest rate on the slate this week. The predictive model expects this game to have the highest number of plays run among all games this week at 138.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. The passing games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 36.6 pass attempts per game against the New Orleans Saints defense this year: 6th-most in the NFL. Alexander Mattison comes in as one of the top pass-game running backs this year, averaging an exceptional 2.6 adjusted receptions per game while ranking in the 78th percentile.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is anticipated by the model to see 138.8 offensive plays run: the most on the slate this week. The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down. The leading projections forecast Kendre Miller to accumulate 3.4 targets in this week's contest, on balance, putting him in the 80th percentile among RBs. The model projects Kendre Miller to be much more involved in his team's passing attack in this game (10.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (4.4% in games he has played). The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has allowed the highest Adjusted Completion% in football (94.3%) to running backs this year (94.3%).

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is anticipated by the model to see 138.8 offensive plays run: the most on the slate this week. The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down. While Marquez Valdes-Scantling has been responsible for 10.1% of his offense's targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be a much bigger part of New Orleans's passing attack in this game at 19.0%. The Raiders linebackers grade out as the 2nd-worst LB corps in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Raiders to pass on 60.8% of their plays: the 6th-greatest rate on the slate this week. The predictive model expects this game to have the highest number of plays run among all games this week at 138.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. The passing games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 36.6 pass attempts per game against the New Orleans Saints defense this year: 6th-most in the NFL. Jakobi Meyers's play as a receiver has gotten a boost this year, compiling 5.5 adjusted catches compared to a mere 4.5 last year.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is anticipated by the model to see 138.8 offensive plays run: the most on the slate this week. The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down. In this contest, Juwan Johnson is predicted by the model to slot into the 86th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 5.4 targets. While Juwan Johnson has accounted for 11.0% of his offense's targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a more important option in New Orleans's passing offense in this week's game at 16.0%. Juwan Johnson's receiving reliability have gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 64.1% to 80.5%.

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Raiders to pass on 60.8% of their plays: the 6th-greatest rate on the slate this week. The predictive model expects this game to have the highest number of plays run among all games this week at 138.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. The passing games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 36.6 pass attempts per game against the New Orleans Saints defense this year: 6th-most in the NFL. The Saints safeties project as the 10th-worst collection of safeties in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

Foster Moreau has gone over 2.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Kevin Austin has gone over 2.5 in 1 of his last 8 games.

Ameer Abdullah has gone over 2.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Tre Tucker has gone over 2.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Michael Mayer has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.