NO 14.5 o43.5
GB -14.5 u43.5
Final Dec 19
DEN 27
LAC 34
Final Dec 21
HOU 19 3.5 o42.5
KC 27 -3.5 u42.5
Final Dec 21
PIT 17 7.5 o44.0
BAL 34 -7.5 u44.0
Final Dec 22
TEN 30 4.0 o43.5
IND 38 -4.0 u43.5
Final Dec 22
PHI 33 -4.0 o47.0
WAS 36 4.0 u47.0
Final Dec 22
LA 19 -3.0 o47.0
NYJ 9 3.0 u47.0
Final Dec 22
CLE 6 10.0 o45.5
CIN 24 -10.0 u45.5
Final Dec 22
NYG 7 10.0 o43.0
ATL 34 -10.0 u43.0
Final OT Dec 22
ARI 30 -5.5 o47.0
CAR 36 5.5 u47.0
Final Dec 22
DET 34 -6.5 o47.5
CHI 17 6.5 u47.5
Final Dec 22
MIN 27 -2.5 o43.0
SEA 24 2.5 u43.0
Final Dec 22
NE 21 14.0 o47.5
BUF 24 -14.0 u47.5
Final Dec 22
JAC 14 2.5 o41.5
LV 19 -2.5 u41.5
Final Dec 22
SF 17 -2.0 o44.0
MIA 29 2.0 u44.0
Final Dec 22
TB 24 -4.0 o47.5
DAL 26 4.0 u47.5
Cleveland 4th AFC North3-12
Philadelphia 1st NFC East12-3
FOX

Cleveland @ Philadelphia props

Lincoln Financial Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

David Njoku Receptions Made Props • Cleveland

D. Njoku
tight end TE • Cleveland
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3.7
Best Odds
Over
+120

The Browns are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script. The predictive model expects the Browns to be the 7th-most pass-focused team in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 63.6% pass rate. The predictive model expects the Browns to call the 6th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.0 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics. The Philadelphia Eagles defense has been something of pass funnel this year, compelling opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 10th-most passes in the league (35.0 per game) this year. David Njoku has been one of the top pass-catching TEs since the start of last season, averaging a fantastic 4.8 adjusted receptions per game while ranking in the 97th percentile.

David Njoku

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 3.7
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
3.7

The Browns are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script. The predictive model expects the Browns to be the 7th-most pass-focused team in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 63.6% pass rate. The predictive model expects the Browns to call the 6th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.0 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics. The Philadelphia Eagles defense has been something of pass funnel this year, compelling opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 10th-most passes in the league (35.0 per game) this year. David Njoku has been one of the top pass-catching TEs since the start of last season, averaging a fantastic 4.8 adjusted receptions per game while ranking in the 97th percentile.

Jerome Ford Receptions Made Props • Cleveland

J. Ford
running back RB • Cleveland
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.9
Best Odds
Under
-165

The Cleveland Browns O-line grades out as the 7th-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative influence on all pass attack stats across the board. Since the start of last season, the formidable Eagles defense has given up a paltry 79.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing RBs: the 10th-lowest rate in the league. The Philadelphia defensive ends grade out as the 2nd-best group of DEs in football this year in regard to rushing the passer.

Jerome Ford

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2.9
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2.9

The Cleveland Browns O-line grades out as the 7th-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative influence on all pass attack stats across the board. Since the start of last season, the formidable Eagles defense has given up a paltry 79.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing RBs: the 10th-lowest rate in the league. The Philadelphia defensive ends grade out as the 2nd-best group of DEs in football this year in regard to rushing the passer.

Amari Cooper Receptions Made Props • Cleveland

A. Cooper
wide receiver WR • Cleveland
Prop
4.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4.4
Best Odds
Under
-120

The Cleveland Browns O-line grades out as the 7th-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative influence on all pass attack stats across the board. Amari Cooper's receiving skills have declined this year, totaling a measly 3.8 adjusted receptions compared to 4.8 last year. Amari Cooper's sure-handedness have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate decreasing from 59.0% to 42.6%. The Philadelphia defensive ends grade out as the 2nd-best group of DEs in football this year in regard to rushing the passer.

Amari Cooper

Prop: 4.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4.4
Prop:
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4.4

The Cleveland Browns O-line grades out as the 7th-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative influence on all pass attack stats across the board. Amari Cooper's receiving skills have declined this year, totaling a measly 3.8 adjusted receptions compared to 4.8 last year. Amari Cooper's sure-handedness have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate decreasing from 59.0% to 42.6%. The Philadelphia defensive ends grade out as the 2nd-best group of DEs in football this year in regard to rushing the passer.

Saquon Barkley Receptions Made Props • Philadelphia

S. Barkley
running back RB • Philadelphia
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.6
Best Odds
Over
+105

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is forecasted by the model to see 131.8 plays on offense run: the 4th-highest number out of all the games this week. The Eagles have called the 5th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 60.5 plays per game. In this week's game, Saquon Barkley is projected by the predictive model to secure a spot in the 84th percentile when it comes to running backs with 3.7 targets. With an impressive 3.0 adjusted receptions per game (83rd percentile) this year, Saquon Barkley places among the top RB receiving threats in the NFL. Saquon Barkley's 87.1% Adjusted Catch% this season represents a significant progression in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 72.6% rate.

Saquon Barkley

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2.6
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2.6

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is forecasted by the model to see 131.8 plays on offense run: the 4th-highest number out of all the games this week. The Eagles have called the 5th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 60.5 plays per game. In this week's game, Saquon Barkley is projected by the predictive model to secure a spot in the 84th percentile when it comes to running backs with 3.7 targets. With an impressive 3.0 adjusted receptions per game (83rd percentile) this year, Saquon Barkley places among the top RB receiving threats in the NFL. Saquon Barkley's 87.1% Adjusted Catch% this season represents a significant progression in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 72.6% rate.

A.J. Brown Receptions Made Props • Philadelphia

A. Brown
wide receiver WR • Philadelphia
Prop
4.5
Receptions Made
Projection
5.3
Best Odds
Over
-165

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is forecasted by the model to see 131.8 plays on offense run: the 4th-highest number out of all the games this week. The Eagles have called the 5th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 60.5 plays per game. In this game, A.J. Brown is anticipated by our trusted projection set to position himself in the 98th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 9.4 targets. With an elite 31.5% Target Rate (99th percentile) since the start of last season, A.J. Brown ranks among the WRs with the highest volume in the NFL. With an exceptional 6.1 adjusted receptions per game (95th percentile) since the start of last season, A.J. Brown has been among the best WRs in the league in the league.

A.J. Brown

Prop: 4.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 5.3
Prop:
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
5.3

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is forecasted by the model to see 131.8 plays on offense run: the 4th-highest number out of all the games this week. The Eagles have called the 5th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 60.5 plays per game. In this game, A.J. Brown is anticipated by our trusted projection set to position himself in the 98th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 9.4 targets. With an elite 31.5% Target Rate (99th percentile) since the start of last season, A.J. Brown ranks among the WRs with the highest volume in the NFL. With an exceptional 6.1 adjusted receptions per game (95th percentile) since the start of last season, A.J. Brown has been among the best WRs in the league in the league.

Dallas Goedert Receptions Made Props • Philadelphia

D. Goedert
tight end TE • Philadelphia
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3.9
Best Odds
Over
-152

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is forecasted by the model to see 131.8 plays on offense run: the 4th-highest number out of all the games this week. The Eagles have called the 5th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 60.5 plays per game. Our trusted projections expect Dallas Goedert to accrue 5.9 targets this week, on balance, ranking him in the 90th percentile among TEs. Dallas Goedert's 47.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive usage) has been notably higher this year than it was last year at 38.4. Dallas Goedert's 6.1 adjusted receptions per game this season conveys a material progression in his pass-catching ability over last season's 4.3 mark.

Dallas Goedert

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 3.9
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
3.9

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is forecasted by the model to see 131.8 plays on offense run: the 4th-highest number out of all the games this week. The Eagles have called the 5th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 60.5 plays per game. Our trusted projections expect Dallas Goedert to accrue 5.9 targets this week, on balance, ranking him in the 90th percentile among TEs. Dallas Goedert's 47.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive usage) has been notably higher this year than it was last year at 38.4. Dallas Goedert's 6.1 adjusted receptions per game this season conveys a material progression in his pass-catching ability over last season's 4.3 mark.

Jerry Jeudy Receptions Made Props • Cleveland

J. Jeudy
wide receiver WR • Cleveland
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
--
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
-114
Under
-114
Prop
3.5 Receptions Made
Season Avg.
--
Best Odds
Over
-114
Under
-114

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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