MetLife Stadium
A running game script is suggested by the Jets being a 4.5-point favorite this week. The 10th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Jets this year (only 56.2 per game on average).
The Colts are a 4.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script. The predictive model expects the Indianapolis Colts to run the 8th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 65.4 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics. Jonathan Taylor has run more routes this season (57.7% Route Participation Rate in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (47.1%). In this week's contest, Jonathan Taylor is forecasted by the predictive model to land in the 75th percentile when it comes to running backs with 3.2 targets. When talking about protecting the passer (and the strong effect it has on all passing offense stats), the offensive line of the Colts grades out as the 2nd-best in the league this year.
The projections expect the New York Jets to be the 7th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 59.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 5th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 130.0 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics. In this contest, Davante Adams is forecasted by the model to slot into the 99th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 10.2 targets. With an excellent 5.4 adjusted receptions per game (89th percentile) this year, Davante Adams has been as one of the leading wide receivers in the league in the NFL. This year, the porous Indianapolis Colts pass defense has allowed a colossal 71.6% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wideouts: the biggest rate in the league.
The projections expect the New York Jets to be the 8th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 59.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 5th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 130.5 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics. Garrett Wilson has run a route on 98.6% of his team's dropbacks this year, putting him in the 100th percentile among WRs. Garrett Wilson's 6.6 adjusted catches per game this season illustrates a remarkable growth in his pass-catching ability over last season's 5.6 rate. This year, the porous Indianapolis Colts pass defense has allowed a colossal 72.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wideouts: the biggest rate in the league.
The Colts are a 4.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script. The predictive model expects the Indianapolis Colts to run the 8th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 65.4 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics. When talking about protecting the passer (and the strong effect it has on all passing offense stats), the offensive line of the Colts grades out as the 2nd-best in the league this year. Mo Alie-Cox's 64.6% Adjusted Completion Rate this season indicates a remarkable gain in his pass-catching skills over last season's 58.1% mark.
The Colts are a 4.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script. The predictive model expects the Indianapolis Colts to run the 8th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 65.4 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics. Our trusted projections expect Josh Downs to total 7.3 targets in this contest, on balance, putting him in the 80th percentile when it comes to WRs. Josh Downs has been a more important option in his offense's passing attack this year (27.4% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (18.2%). Josh Downs's 5.7 adjusted catches per game this year conveys a meaningful improvement in his receiving talent over last year's 4.0 figure.
The projections expect the New York Jets to be the 7th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 59.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 5th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 130.0 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics. Breece Hall's 63.5% Route Participation% this year indicates a meaningful progression in his air attack usage over last year's 47.8% rate. This week, Breece Hall is forecasted by the predictive model to land in the 94th percentile among RBs with 5.3 targets. In regards to pass protection (and the positive effect it has on all pass attack metrics), the O-line of the Jets profiles as the 7th-best in the NFL this year.
