Cincinnati @ Los Angeles props

Our trusted projections expect the Bengals to be the most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 66.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, and lower ground volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness. This week, Mike Gesicki is expected by our trusted projection set to find himself in the 84th percentile when it comes to TEs with 4.9 targets. Mike Gesicki's 31.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive usage) has been substantially higher this year than it was last year at 18.9. Mike Gesicki's 3.8 adjusted receptions per game this year shows a material improvement in his receiving talent over last year's 2.0 mark.

Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being projected in this game) usually cause better passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher air attack volume, and reduced run volume. The leading projections forecast Will Dissly to accrue 6.2 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 94th percentile among tight ends. Will Dissly's 18.1% Target Share this season shows a noteworthy progression in his passing attack workload over last season's 3.5% figure. Will Dissly's receiving talent has been refined this year, compiling 3.6 adjusted receptions vs a measly 1.4 last year. This year, the anemic Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has allowed a whopping 79.6% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing tight ends: the 8th-largest rate in football.

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Cincinnati Bengals are projected by the projections to call only 62.7 plays on offense in this game: the 5th-lowest number among all teams this week. The 9th-fewest plays in the NFL have been called by the Bengals this year (only 55.6 per game on average). Ja'Marr Chase's 59.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been notably lower this season than it was last season at 69.0. The Los Angeles Chargers linebackers project as the 4th-best group of LBs in the NFL this year in defending pass-catchers.

Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being projected in this game) usually cause better passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher air attack volume, and reduced run volume. J.K. Dobbins has run a route on 52.8% of his team's dropbacks this year, putting him in the 89th percentile among running backs. In this game, J.K. Dobbins is projected by our trusted projection set to land in the 88th percentile among running backs with 3.8 targets. With an impressive 2.7 adjusted receptions per game (80th percentile) this year, J.K. Dobbins ranks as one of the leading RB receiving threats in football. This year, the poor Bengals pass defense has been torched for a monstrous 88.2% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing RBs: the 5th-worst rate in football.

Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being projected in this game) usually cause better passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher air attack volume, and reduced run volume. When it comes to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Cincinnati's unit has been very bad this year, projecting as the 2nd-worst in football.

Our trusted projections expect the Bengals to be the most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 66.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, and lower ground volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness. The predictive model expects Chase Brown to total 5.6 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 95th percentile among RBs. Chase Brown's 10.5% Target Share this season represents a noteworthy growth in his passing offense usage over last season's 3.7% figure. Chase Brown's receiving talent has improved this year, compiling 3.0 adjusted catches compared to a mere 1.4 last year.