Detroit @ Dallas props

CeeDee Lamb's 21.5% Target% this season conveys a material decline in his pass game workload over last season's 30.2% mark. The Dallas Cowboys offensive line profiles as the 6th-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative effect on all passing offense stats across the board. CeeDee Lamb's 5.1 adjusted catches per game this season illustrates a substantial regression in his receiving prowess over last season's 7.9 rate. CeeDee Lamb's receiving reliability have diminished this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate shrinking from 74.7% to 67.2%. When it comes to safeties in defending receivers, Detroit's safety corps has been fantastic this year, ranking as the 4th-best in the NFL.

The projections expect the Detroit Lions to be the 8th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 59.4% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Detroit Lions are predicted by our trusted projection set to run 67.0 total plays in this game: the 2nd-most among all teams this week. The 10th-largest volume of plays in football have been run by the Lions this year (a staggering 59.8 per game on average). This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness. In this week's contest, Sam LaPorta is projected by the predictive model to land in the 95th percentile among tight ends with 6.6 targets.

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cowboys to pass on 62.5% of their chances: the 2nd-highest frequency among all teams this week. Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Cowboys are projected by the projections to call 66.4 plays on offense in this game: the 3rd-highest number among all teams this week. The 6th-highest number of plays in football have been run by the Dallas Cowboys this year (a monstrous 60.4 per game on average). Opposing QBs have averaged 41.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Lions defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL. Jake Ferguson's 5.5 adjusted catches per game this year marks a noteable boost in his receiving talent over last year's 4.2 rate.

The Dallas Cowboys offensive line profiles as the 6th-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative effect on all passing offense stats across the board. Since the start of last season, the strong Lions defense has yielded a puny 74.3% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing RBs: the lowest rate in football. When it comes to safeties in defending receivers, Detroit's safety corps has been fantastic this year, ranking as the 4th-best in the NFL.

The projections expect the Detroit Lions to be the 8th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 59.4% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Detroit Lions are predicted by our trusted projection set to run 67.0 total plays in this game: the 2nd-most among all teams this week. The 10th-largest volume of plays in football have been run by the Lions this year (a staggering 59.8 per game on average). This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness. Jahmyr Gibbs ranks as one of the best RB receiving threats this year, averaging a fantastic 2.8 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 77th percentile.

The projections expect the Detroit Lions to be the 8th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 59.4% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Detroit Lions are predicted by our trusted projection set to run 67.0 total plays in this game: the 2nd-most among all teams this week. The 10th-largest volume of plays in football have been run by the Lions this year (a staggering 59.8 per game on average). This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness. In this game, Amon-Ra St. Brown is anticipated by the predictive model to finish in the 100th percentile when it comes to WRs with 10.9 targets.