LAC -5.5 o42.0
NE 5.5 u42.0
DEN 3.5 o50.0
CIN -3.5 u50.0
ARI 6.5 o48.0
LA -6.5 u48.0
CAR 8.5 o48.0
TB -8.5 u48.0
IND -8.5 o40.0
NYG 8.5 u40.0
NYJ 10.0 o45.5
BUF -10.0 u45.5
TEN 1.0 o39.0
JAC -1.0 u39.0
DAL 7.5 o38.0
PHI -7.5 u38.0
LV -1.0 o37.5
NO 1.0 u37.5
MIA -6.5 o37.5
CLE 6.5 u37.5
GB 1.0 o48.0
MIN -1.0 u48.0
ATL 4.0 o47.0
WAS -4.0 u47.0
DET -3.5 o50.5
SF 3.5 u50.5
Final Dec 25
KC 29 -1.5 o46.0
PIT 10 1.5 u46.0
Final Dec 25
BAL 31 -6.5 o47.5
HOU 2 6.5 u47.5
Final Dec 26
SEA 6 -4.0 o42.0
CHI 3 4.0 u42.0
Baltimore 1st AFC North11-5
Los Angeles 2nd AFC West9-6
ESPN

Baltimore @ Los Angeles props

SoFi Stadium

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Isaiah Likely Receptions Made Props • Baltimore

I. Likely
tight end TE • Baltimore
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.8
Best Odds
Over
+105

The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being called for in this game, while ground volume may fall-off. The Chargers defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, causing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 10th-most passes in the NFL (34.8 per game) this year. The predictive model expects Isaiah Likely to accrue 4.0 targets this week, on balance, ranking him in the 75th percentile among tight ends. Isaiah Likely's 31.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive usage) has been substantially higher this year than it was last year at 16.0.

Isaiah Likely

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2.8
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2.8

The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being called for in this game, while ground volume may fall-off. The Chargers defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, causing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 10th-most passes in the NFL (34.8 per game) this year. The predictive model expects Isaiah Likely to accrue 4.0 targets this week, on balance, ranking him in the 75th percentile among tight ends. Isaiah Likely's 31.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive usage) has been substantially higher this year than it was last year at 16.0.

Will Dissly Receptions Made Props • L.A. Chargers

W. Dissly
tight end TE • L.A. Chargers
Prop
4.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4.5
Best Odds
Over
+116

The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may fall-off. The Baltimore Ravens defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, inciting opposing QBs to attempt the most passes in football (41.7 per game) this year. The predictive model expects Will Dissly to notch 6.5 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 92nd percentile when it comes to TEs. Will Dissly has been a more important option in his offense's passing offense this season (18.0% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (3.5%). Will Dissly's 3.6 adjusted catches per game this season represents a noteworthy gain in his receiving prowess over last season's 1.4 figure.

Will Dissly

Prop: 4.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4.5
Prop:
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4.5

The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may fall-off. The Baltimore Ravens defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, inciting opposing QBs to attempt the most passes in football (41.7 per game) this year. The predictive model expects Will Dissly to notch 6.5 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 92nd percentile when it comes to TEs. Will Dissly has been a more important option in his offense's passing offense this season (18.0% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (3.5%). Will Dissly's 3.6 adjusted catches per game this season represents a noteworthy gain in his receiving prowess over last season's 1.4 figure.

J.K. Dobbins Receptions Made Props • L.A. Chargers

J. Dobbins
running back RB • L.A. Chargers
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.7
Best Odds
Over
-110

The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may fall-off. The Baltimore Ravens defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, inciting opposing QBs to attempt the most passes in football (41.7 per game) this year. With a remarkable 51.2% Route% (85th percentile) this year, J.K. Dobbins places among the pass-catching RBs with the biggest workloads in the league. In this week's contest, J.K. Dobbins is anticipated by our trusted projection set to slot into the 87th percentile when it comes to RBs with 3.6 targets. With an exceptional 2.5 adjusted catches per game (78th percentile) this year, J.K. Dobbins places among the best pass-catching running backs in football.

J.K. Dobbins

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2.7
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2.7

The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may fall-off. The Baltimore Ravens defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, inciting opposing QBs to attempt the most passes in football (41.7 per game) this year. With a remarkable 51.2% Route% (85th percentile) this year, J.K. Dobbins places among the pass-catching RBs with the biggest workloads in the league. In this week's contest, J.K. Dobbins is anticipated by our trusted projection set to slot into the 87th percentile when it comes to RBs with 3.6 targets. With an exceptional 2.5 adjusted catches per game (78th percentile) this year, J.K. Dobbins places among the best pass-catching running backs in football.

Zay Flowers Receptions Made Props • Baltimore

Z. Flowers
wide receiver WR • Baltimore
Prop
4.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4.7
Best Odds
Over
-130

The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being called for in this game, while ground volume may fall-off. The Chargers defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, causing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 10th-most passes in the NFL (34.8 per game) this year. The predictive model expects Zay Flowers to earn 7.3 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 82nd percentile among WRs. With a high 25.9% Target Rate (92nd percentile) this year, Zay Flowers places as one of the wideouts with the most usage in the league. Zay Flowers is positioned as one of the leading wide receivers in the NFL this year, averaging a remarkable 4.7 adjusted catches per game while ranking in the 85th percentile.

Zay Flowers

Prop: 4.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4.7
Prop:
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4.7

The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being called for in this game, while ground volume may fall-off. The Chargers defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, causing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 10th-most passes in the NFL (34.8 per game) this year. The predictive model expects Zay Flowers to earn 7.3 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 82nd percentile among WRs. With a high 25.9% Target Rate (92nd percentile) this year, Zay Flowers places as one of the wideouts with the most usage in the league. Zay Flowers is positioned as one of the leading wide receivers in the NFL this year, averaging a remarkable 4.7 adjusted catches per game while ranking in the 85th percentile.

Derrick Henry Receptions Made Props • Baltimore

D. Henry
running back RB • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Receptions Made
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Receptions Made
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being called for in this game, while ground volume may fall-off. The Chargers defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, causing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 10th-most passes in the NFL (34.8 per game) this year.

Derrick Henry

Prop: 0.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
0.9

The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being called for in this game, while ground volume may fall-off. The Chargers defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, causing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 10th-most passes in the NFL (34.8 per game) this year.

Ladd McConkey Receptions Made Props • L.A. Chargers

L. McConkey
wide receiver WR • L.A. Chargers
Prop
4.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4.9
Best Odds
Over
-156

The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may fall-off. The Baltimore Ravens defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, inciting opposing QBs to attempt the most passes in football (41.7 per game) this year.

Ladd McConkey

Prop: 4.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4.9
Prop:
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4.9

The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may fall-off. The Baltimore Ravens defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, inciting opposing QBs to attempt the most passes in football (41.7 per game) this year.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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