Denver @ Las Vegas props

The Raiders are a 6-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script. The predictive model expects the Las Vegas Raiders as the 2nd-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 63.0% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics. The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off. Opposing offenses have averaged 35.0 pass attempts per game against the Denver Broncos defense this year: 9th-most in the NFL. Jakobi Meyers comes in as one of the leading wide receivers in the NFL this year, averaging an outstanding 5.4 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 89th percentile.

The Raiders are a 6-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script. The predictive model expects the Las Vegas Raiders as the 2nd-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 63.0% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics. The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off. Opposing offenses have averaged 35.0 pass attempts per game against the Denver Broncos defense this year: 9th-most in the NFL.

At only 27.94 seconds per snap, the Broncos offense grades out as the 8th-quickest paced in football (adjusted for context) this year. The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer. The model projects Courtland Sutton to garner 8.2 targets in this week's contest, on balance, putting him in the 92nd percentile among wide receivers. Courtland Sutton's 64.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that measures high-value offensive usage) puts him in the company of the best in the league: 92nd percentile for WRs. In regards to protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Broncos ranks as the 3rd-best in the league this year.

The Raiders are a 6-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script. The predictive model expects the Las Vegas Raiders as the 2nd-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 63.0% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics. The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off. Opposing offenses have averaged 35.0 pass attempts per game against the Denver Broncos defense this year: 9th-most in the NFL. Ameer Abdullah's 2.5 adjusted catches per game this season reflects a noteable boost in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 1.2 figure.

At only 27.94 seconds per snap, the Broncos offense grades out as the 8th-quickest paced in football (adjusted for context) this year. The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer. Javonte Williams's 44.3% Route Participation% this year shows a meaningful improvement in his air attack workload over last year's 29.4% mark. Our trusted projections expect Javonte Williams to accumulate 3.4 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 79th percentile among RBs. With a stellar 3.2 adjusted receptions per game (93rd percentile) this year, Javonte Williams stands as one of the top RBs in the pass game in football.