PIT -3.5 o37.0
CLE 3.5 u37.0
DET -7.5 o49.5
IND 7.5 u49.5
TEN 9.0 o41.0
HOU -9.0 u41.0
NE 7.0 o46.5
MIA -7.0 u46.5
MIN -3.5 o39.0
CHI 3.5 u39.0
KC -11.0 o43.0
CAR 11.0 u43.0
TB -5.5 o41.5
NYG 5.5 u41.5
DAL 10.5 o45.0
WAS -10.5 u45.0
DEN -5.0 o40.5
LV 5.0 u40.5
SF 2.5 o47.0
GB -2.5 u47.0
ARI 1.0 o48.0
SEA -1.0 u48.0
PHI -3.0 o49.5
LA 3.0 u49.5
BAL -3.0 o50.0
LAC 3.0 u50.0
Denver 3rd AFC West6-5
Las Vegas 4th AFC West2-8

Denver @ Las Vegas props

Allegiant Stadium

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Brock Bowers Receptions Made Props • Las Vegas

B. Bowers
tight end TE • Las Vegas
Prop
5.5
Receptions Made
Projection
6.8
Best Odds
Over
-135
Prop
5.5 Receptions Made
Projection
6.8
Best Odds
Over
-135
Projection Rating

The Raiders are a 5.5-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script. The predictive model expects the Las Vegas Raiders as the 2nd-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 62.7% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics. The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off. Opposing offenses have averaged 35.0 pass attempts per game against the Denver Broncos defense this year: 9th-most in the NFL.

Brock Bowers

Prop: 5.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 6.8
Prop:
5.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
6.8

The Raiders are a 5.5-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script. The predictive model expects the Las Vegas Raiders as the 2nd-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 62.7% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics. The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off. Opposing offenses have averaged 35.0 pass attempts per game against the Denver Broncos defense this year: 9th-most in the NFL.

Courtland Sutton Receptions Made Props • Denver

C. Sutton
wide receiver WR • Denver
Prop
4.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4.8
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection
4.8
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

At only 27.94 seconds per snap, the Broncos offense grades out as the 8th-quickest paced in football (adjusted for context) this year. The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer. The model projects Courtland Sutton to garner 8.1 targets in this week's contest, on balance, putting him in the 91st percentile among wide receivers. Courtland Sutton's 64.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that measures high-value offensive usage) puts him in the company of the best in the league: 92nd percentile for WRs. In regards to protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Broncos ranks as the 3rd-best in the league this year.

Courtland Sutton

Prop: 4.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4.8
Prop:
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4.8

At only 27.94 seconds per snap, the Broncos offense grades out as the 8th-quickest paced in football (adjusted for context) this year. The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer. The model projects Courtland Sutton to garner 8.1 targets in this week's contest, on balance, putting him in the 91st percentile among wide receivers. Courtland Sutton's 64.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that measures high-value offensive usage) puts him in the company of the best in the league: 92nd percentile for WRs. In regards to protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Broncos ranks as the 3rd-best in the league this year.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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