NO 14.0 o43.5
GB -14.0 u43.5
Final Dec 19
DEN 27
LAC 34
Final Dec 21
HOU 19 3.5 o42.5
KC 27 -3.5 u42.5
Final Dec 21
PIT 17 7.5 o44.0
BAL 34 -7.5 u44.0
Final Dec 22
DET 34 -6.5 o47.5
CHI 17 6.5 u47.5
Final Dec 22
PHI 33 -4.0 o47.0
WAS 36 4.0 u47.0
Final Dec 22
LA 19 -3.0 o47.0
NYJ 9 3.0 u47.0
Final Dec 22
NYG 7 10.0 o43.0
ATL 34 -10.0 u43.0
Final OT Dec 22
ARI 30 -5.5 o47.0
CAR 36 5.5 u47.0
Final Dec 22
CLE 6 10.0 o45.5
CIN 24 -10.0 u45.5
Final Dec 22
TEN 30 4.0 o43.5
IND 38 -4.0 u43.5
Final Dec 22
MIN 27 -2.5 o43.0
SEA 24 2.5 u43.0
Final Dec 22
JAC 14 2.5 o41.5
LV 19 -2.5 u41.5
Final Dec 22
NE 21 14.0 o47.5
BUF 24 -14.0 u47.5
Final Dec 22
SF 17 -2.0 o44.0
MIA 29 2.0 u44.0
Final Dec 22
TB 24 -4.0 o47.5
DAL 26 4.0 u47.5
Pittsburgh 1st AFC North10-5
Las Vegas 4th AFC West3-12
CBS

Pittsburgh @ Las Vegas props

Allegiant Stadium

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Tre Tucker Receptions Made Props • Las Vegas

T. Tucker
wide receiver WR • Las Vegas
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4.4
Best Odds
Over
+120

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Raiders to pass on 60.7% of their downs: the 4th-greatest frequency among all teams this week. The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer. When it comes to cornerbacks in pass coverage, Pittsburgh's group of CBs has been awful this year, projecting as the 4th-worst in the league.

Tre Tucker

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4.4
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4.4

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Raiders to pass on 60.7% of their downs: the 4th-greatest frequency among all teams this week. The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer. When it comes to cornerbacks in pass coverage, Pittsburgh's group of CBs has been awful this year, projecting as the 4th-worst in the league.

Brock Bowers Receptions Made Props • Las Vegas

B. Bowers
tight end TE • Las Vegas
Prop
5.5
Receptions Made
Projection
6.3
Best Odds
Over
+125

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Raiders to pass on 60.7% of their downs: the 4th-greatest frequency among all teams this week. The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.

Brock Bowers

Prop: 5.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 6.3
Prop:
5.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
6.3

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Raiders to pass on 60.7% of their downs: the 4th-greatest frequency among all teams this week. The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.

George Pickens Receptions Made Props • Pittsburgh

G. Pickens
wide receiver WR • Pittsburgh
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4.2
Best Odds
Over
-115

The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 10th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 59.8 plays per game. The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may go down. The leading projections forecast George Pickens to accrue 7.0 targets in this week's game, on balance, ranking him in the 77th percentile when it comes to WRs. George Pickens's 71.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive volume) has been significantly higher this year than it was last year at 62.5. George Pickens comes in as one of the leading pass-catching wide receivers this year, averaging a stellar 4.6 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 82nd percentile.

George Pickens

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4.2
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4.2

The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 10th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 59.8 plays per game. The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may go down. The leading projections forecast George Pickens to accrue 7.0 targets in this week's game, on balance, ranking him in the 77th percentile when it comes to WRs. George Pickens's 71.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive volume) has been significantly higher this year than it was last year at 62.5. George Pickens comes in as one of the leading pass-catching wide receivers this year, averaging a stellar 4.6 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 82nd percentile.

Alexander Mattison Receptions Made Props • Las Vegas

A. Mattison
running back RB • Las Vegas
Prop
1.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.4
Best Odds
Over
-179
Prop
1.5 Receptions Made
Projection
2.4
Best Odds
Over
-179
Projection Rating

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Raiders to pass on 60.7% of their downs: the 4th-greatest frequency among all teams this week. The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer. Our trusted projections expect Alexander Mattison to total 3.4 targets in this week's game, on balance, putting him in the 81st percentile when it comes to running backs.

Alexander Mattison

Prop: 1.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2.4
Prop:
1.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2.4

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Raiders to pass on 60.7% of their downs: the 4th-greatest frequency among all teams this week. The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer. Our trusted projections expect Alexander Mattison to total 3.4 targets in this week's game, on balance, putting him in the 81st percentile when it comes to running backs.

Najee Harris Receptions Made Props • Pittsburgh

N. Harris
running back RB • Pittsburgh
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.3
Best Odds
Under
-152
Prop
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection
2.3
Best Odds
Under
-152
Projection Rating

The projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 2nd-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 49.8% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. Opposing quarterbacks teams have been afraid to lean on the pass against the Raiders, totaling the 8th-fewest attempts in football (a mere 30.8 per game) this year. Najee Harris's possession skills have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Catch% shrinking from 84.7% to 73.9%.

Najee Harris

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2.3
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2.3

The projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 2nd-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 49.8% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. Opposing quarterbacks teams have been afraid to lean on the pass against the Raiders, totaling the 8th-fewest attempts in football (a mere 30.8 per game) this year. Najee Harris's possession skills have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Catch% shrinking from 84.7% to 73.9%.

Pat Freiermuth Receptions Made Props • Pittsburgh

P. Freiermuth
tight end TE • Pittsburgh
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3.4
Best Odds
Under
-150

The projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 2nd-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 49.8% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. Opposing quarterbacks teams have been afraid to lean on the pass against the Raiders, totaling the 8th-fewest attempts in football (a mere 30.8 per game) this year.

Pat Freiermuth

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 3.4
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
3.4

The projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 2nd-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 49.8% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. Opposing quarterbacks teams have been afraid to lean on the pass against the Raiders, totaling the 8th-fewest attempts in football (a mere 30.8 per game) this year.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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