Green Bay @ Philadelphia props

This game's line suggests a running game script for the Eagles, who are favored by 5.5 points. Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Philadelphia Eagles to pass on 46.6% of their downs: the lowest rate on the slate this week. When it comes to safeties in defending receivers, Green Bay's safety corps has been exceptional this year, grading out as the 3rd-best in the league.

The Philadelphia Eagles will be rolling with backup quarterback Tanner McKee in this contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushing. Our trusted projections expect the Eagles to run the most total plays among all teams this week with 67.7 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. The Eagles have run the 3rd-most plays in the league this year, averaging a colossal 60.1 plays per game. The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and lower rush volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency. Our trusted projections expect A.J. Brown to accumulate 9.2 targets in this week's game, on balance, ranking him in the 95th percentile among WRs.

Our trusted projections expect the Green Bay Packers to be the 8th-least pass-centric team in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 58.2% pass rate. The Packers have run the 3rd-fewest plays in football this year, averaging just 55.7 plays per game. Opposing quarterbacks teams have been unwilling to test the pass defense of the Philadelphia Eagles, totaling the 8th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 31.1 per game) this year. This year, the strong Philadelphia Eagles defense has yielded a mere 70.9% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing tight ends: the 4th-best rate in the league. As it relates to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Philadelphia's group of LBs has been great this year, profiling as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

This week's line suggests a throwing game script for the Packers, who are -4.5-point underdogs. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is predicted by the model to see 132.1 total plays called: the most among all games this week. Jayden Reed's 74.2% Route Participation Rate this season shows a significant boost in his passing attack volume over last season's 63.4% figure. The predictive model expects Jayden Reed to notch 6.9 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 83rd percentile among WRs. Jayden Reed's ball-catching skills have gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate increasing from 72.1% to 75.1%.

This week's line suggests a throwing game script for the Packers, who are -5.5-point underdogs. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is predicted by the model to see 131.8 total plays called: the 2nd-most among all games this week. The weatherman calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, and lower run volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency. Romeo Doubs has run a route on 86.1% of his team's dropbacks this year, placing him in the 79th percentile among wide receivers. Romeo Doubs's ball-catching skills have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate increasing from 64.2% to 68.2%.

The Philadelphia Eagles will be rolling with backup quarterback Tanner McKee in this contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushing. Our trusted projections expect the Eagles to run the most total plays among all teams this week with 67.7 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. The Eagles have run the 3rd-most plays in the league this year, averaging a colossal 60.1 plays per game. The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and lower rush volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency. Saquon Barkley's receiving reliability have improved this year, with his Adjusted Catch% increasing from 72.6% to 85.3%.

This week's line suggests a throwing game script for the Packers, who are -5.5-point underdogs. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is predicted by the model to see 131.8 total plays called: the 2nd-most among all games this week. The weatherman calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, and lower run volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency. In this week's game, Josh Jacobs is projected by our trusted projection set to finish in the 84th percentile when it comes to running backs with 3.7 targets. Josh Jacobs's 88.3% Adjusted Catch Rate this year reflects an impressive improvement in his receiving proficiency over last year's 69.0% rate.