Pittsburgh @ Baltimore picks

Mike Tomlin is the greatest coach when it comes to cashing in as an underdog and he’s especially strong when it comes to these divisional matchups. Since 2007, Tomlin’s Steelers are 38-14-2 ATS as a pup in AFC North contests, including a 13-3-2 ATS mark when getting points against the Baltimore Ravens. When it comes to this year’s team, Pittsburgh got a rough draw of schedule to close out the campaign, playing a stint of four road games in six weeks while also compressing three games in 11 days — those three outings coming against the likes of Philadelphia (road), Baltimore (road), and Kansas City. I’m going to discount that last loss to the Ravens a bit and it feels like this spread has run a little too far with most shops at Baltimore -9.5 and sharper books hanging a cheaper -10 on the home side.