Minnesota @ Los Angeles props

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Vikings to pass on 59.7% of their plays: the 3rd-greatest frequency on the slate this week. This year, the stout Los Angeles Rams defense has yielded a measly 59.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wide receivers: the 2nd-lowest rate in the NFL.

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Vikings to pass on 59.7% of their plays: the 3rd-greatest frequency on the slate this week. T.J. Hockenson's 41.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit worse this season than it was last season at 51.5. T.J. Hockenson's 4.1 adjusted receptions per game this season illustrates a noteable diminishment in his pass-catching skills over last season's 6.2 rate. T.J. Hockenson's 68.7% Adjusted Completion% this year indicates a noteable reduction in his pass-catching ability over last year's 75.2% mark. This year, the tough Los Angeles Rams defense has given up a meager 72.6% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing tight ends: the 7th-smallest rate in the NFL.

The Rams will be starting backup QB Jimmy Garoppolo this week, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. The predictive model expects this game to see the largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 132.8 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics. The pass games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide. The Minnesota Vikings defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, tempting opposing teams to attempt the 4th-most passes in the NFL (35.8 per game) this year. Kyren Williams's sure-handedness have gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate increasing from 68.1% to 89.8%.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is expected by our trusted projection set to have 132.8 total plays run: the most out of all the games this week. The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while run volume may slide. Our trusted projections expect Aaron Jones to earn 4.2 targets this week, on balance, putting him in the 100th percentile when it comes to RBs. Aaron Jones profiles as one of the top pass-catching running backs this year, averaging a terrific 3.0 adjusted catches per game while ranking in the 91st percentile. The Los Angeles Rams pass defense has been gouged for the highest Adjusted Completion% in football (89.8%) to running backs this year (89.8%).

The Rams will be starting backup QB Jimmy Garoppolo this week, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. The predictive model expects this game to see the largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 132.8 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics. The pass games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide. The Minnesota Vikings defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, tempting opposing teams to attempt the 4th-most passes in the NFL (35.8 per game) this year. Tyler Higbee rates as one of the leading pass-catching tight ends since the start of last season, averaging a remarkable 3.0 adjusted receptions per game while ranking in the 76th percentile.

The Rams will be starting backup QB Jimmy Garoppolo this week, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. The predictive model expects this game to see the largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 132.8 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics. The pass games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide. The Minnesota Vikings defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, tempting opposing teams to attempt the 4th-most passes in the NFL (35.8 per game) this year. Puka Nacua's play as a receiver has gotten better this season, totaling 7.1 adjusted receptions vs a measly 6.1 last season.