Los Angeles @ Philadelphia props

The Eagles are a 6.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script. Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Eagles to pass on 39.0% of their downs: the lowest clip among all teams this week. Right now, the 7th-slowest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Eagles. Opposing quarterbacks teams have been afraid to pass too much against the Los Angeles Rams, averaging the 7th-fewest attempts in football (a lowly 30.5 per game) this year. The Los Angeles Rams pass defense has yielded the 7th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (72.6%) to tight ends this year (72.6%).

The leading projections forecast the Los Angeles Rams as the 3rd-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 54.9% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. The leading projections forecast the Rams to run the 3rd-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 64.5 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics. Opposing offenses teams have been afraid to pass too much against the Philadelphia Eagles, averaging the fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 29.3 per game) this year. Kyren Williams's 11.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive usage) has been significantly lower this year than it was last year at 17.5. The Los Angeles offensive line profiles as the worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all passing game metrics across the board.

The Eagles are a 6.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script. Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Eagles to pass on 39.0% of their downs: the lowest clip among all teams this week. Right now, the 7th-slowest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Eagles. Opposing quarterbacks teams have been afraid to pass too much against the Los Angeles Rams, averaging the 7th-fewest attempts in football (a lowly 30.5 per game) this year. A.J. Brown's 4.8 adjusted receptions per game this year illustrates a significant drop-off in his receiving talent over last year's 6.2 mark.

The leading projections forecast the Los Angeles Rams as the 3rd-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 54.9% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. The leading projections forecast the Rams to run the 3rd-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 64.5 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics. Opposing offenses teams have been afraid to pass too much against the Philadelphia Eagles, averaging the fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 29.3 per game) this year. The Los Angeles offensive line profiles as the worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all passing game metrics across the board. The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has allowed the 5th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (61.2%) versus WRs this year (61.2%).

The leading projections forecast the Los Angeles Rams as the 3rd-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 54.9% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. The leading projections forecast the Rams to run the 3rd-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 64.5 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics. Opposing offenses teams have been afraid to pass too much against the Philadelphia Eagles, averaging the fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 29.3 per game) this year. The Los Angeles offensive line profiles as the worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all passing game metrics across the board. Tyler Higbee's receiving skills have tailed off this year, totaling just 2.0 adjusted receptions compared to 3.1 last year.

This week, Saquon Barkley is predicted by the projections to finish in the 78th percentile among RBs with 2.3 targets. Saquon Barkley's ball-catching skills have been refined this season, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 72.6% to 85.4%. The Rams pass defense has yielded the highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (89.8%) to RBs this year (89.8%). When it comes to linebackers in covering receivers, Los Angeles's LB corps has been awful this year, grading out as the 6th-worst in the NFL.