Kansas City @ Philadelphia props

The Eagles have run the 5th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a staggering 59.4 plays per game. The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline. The projections expect A.J. Brown to total 9.6 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 100th percentile among wideouts. A.J. Brown's 86.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially higher this season than it was last season at 77.6. A.J. Brown has been one of the most sure-handed receivers in the league, catching an excellent 71.2% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, grading out in the 77th percentile among wideouts.

Opposing teams teams have been reluctant to test the pass defense of the Philadelphia Eagles, averaging the fewest attempts in football (a mere 26.4 per game) this year. The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has yielded the 5th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (61.3%) vs. wideouts this year (61.3%). The Philadelphia Eagles cornerbacks rank as the best unit in the league this year in defending receivers.

The Eagles have run the 5th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a staggering 59.4 plays per game. The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline. In this week's game, Saquon Barkley is forecasted by the predictive model to find himself in the 100th percentile when it comes to running backs with 3.0 targets. Saquon Barkley's 85.7% Adjusted Catch% this season signifies an impressive improvement in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 72.6% figure.

The Eagles have run the 5th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a staggering 59.4 plays per game. The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline. This week, Dallas Goedert is expected by the projections to slot into the 80th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 6.8 targets. Dallas Goedert's 50.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive volume) has been substantially higher this year than it was last year at 38.4. Dallas Goedert's receiving reliability have been refined this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate rising from 73.8% to 83.4%.

Opposing teams teams have been reluctant to test the pass defense of the Philadelphia Eagles, averaging the fewest attempts in football (a mere 26.4 per game) this year. The Eagles linebackers grade out as the 2nd-best LB corps in the NFL this year in defending pass-catchers.

At the present time, the 2nd-most pass-centric team in football (68.3% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Chiefs. At the present time, the 7th-fastest paced offense in football (context-neutralized) according to the model is the Chiefs. The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop-off. With an impressive 86.5% Route% (98th percentile) this year, Travis Kelce ranks as one of the TEs with the biggest workloads in football. The model projects Travis Kelce to total 9.1 targets in this contest, on balance, putting him in the 100th percentile among tight ends.