NFL Player Props and Best Projections

Right now, the most run-focused team in the NFL (46.4% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Philadelphia Eagles. The Eagles have run the 5th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a staggering 59.4 plays per game. Jalen Hurts has averaged 8.3 carries per game this year, one of the highest rates in football among quarterbacks (98th percentile). Accounting for 25.3% of his offense's rushing play calls this year (96th percentile among QBs), Jalen Hurts's mobility marks him as a significant weapon on the ground. Jalen Hurts's 43.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year represents a significant improvement in his running talent over last year's 34.0 figure.

The Eagles have run the 5th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a staggering 59.4 plays per game. The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline. Jalen Hurts's passing precision has been refined this year, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 65.9% to 69.0%. With a fantastic 7.84 adjusted yards-per-target (82nd percentile) this year, Jalen Hurts stands among the most efficient quarterbacks in the NFL.

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Philadelphia Eagles are anticipated by the predictive model to run just 66.5 total plays in this contest: the lowest number on the slate this week. The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline. The Kansas City Chiefs defense has had the 6th-best efficiency against opposing run games this year, yielding just 4.24 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC). The Kansas City Chiefs safeties grade out as the 5th-best unit in football this year when it comes to stopping the run.

At the present time, the 2nd-most pass-centric team in football (68.3% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Chiefs. At the present time, the 7th-fastest paced offense in football (context-neutralized) according to the model is the Chiefs. The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop-off. When talking about protecting the passer (and the positive impact it has on all pass attack metrics), the O-line of the Kansas City Chiefs grades out as the 5th-best in the league this year.

The Eagles have run the 5th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a staggering 59.4 plays per game. The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline. The projections expect A.J. Brown to total 9.4 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 100th percentile among wideouts. A.J. Brown's 86.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially higher this season than it was last season at 77.6. A.J. Brown has been one of the most sure-handed receivers in the league, catching an excellent 71.2% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, grading out in the 77th percentile among wideouts.

The projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs as the least run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 35.6% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop-off. In this game, Patrick Mahomes is predicted by the model to earn the fewest rush attempts out of all QBs with 3.7. With an awful rate of 1.19 yards-after-contact (22nd percentile), Patrick Mahomes has been as one of the worst rushing quarterbacks in the NFL this year. Opposing squads have rushed for the 4th-fewest adjusted yards in the NFL (just 102.0 per game) against the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year.

At the present time, the 2nd-most pass-centric team in football (68.3% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Chiefs. At the present time, the 7th-fastest paced offense in football (context-neutralized) according to the model is the Chiefs. The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop-off. Kareem Hunt's 38.1% Route Participation% this season signifies a significant improvement in his passing game usage over last season's 22.4% rate. Kareem Hunt's 14.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year shows a substantial gain in his receiving prowess over last year's 6.0 rate.

At the present time, the 2nd-most pass-centric team in football (68.3% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Chiefs. At the present time, the 7th-fastest paced offense in football (context-neutralized) according to the model is the Chiefs. The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop-off. Patrick Mahomes has attempted 33.8 throws per game this year, grading out in the 82nd percentile among quarterbacks. When talking about protecting the passer (and the positive impact it has on all pass attack metrics), the O-line of the Kansas City Chiefs grades out as the 5th-best in the league this year.

At the present time, the 7th-fastest paced offense in football (context-neutralized) according to the model is the Chiefs. The projections expect Kareem Hunt to accumulate 12.5 carries in this contest, on balance, ranking him in the 80th percentile among RBs. After accounting for 32.0% of his team's rushing play calls last year, Kareem Hunt has been called on more in the ground game this year, now comprising 58.9%. Kareem Hunt has rushed for significantly more adjusted yards per game (57.0) this year than he did last year (29.0).

The Eagles have run the 5th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a staggering 59.4 plays per game. The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline. In this week's game, Saquon Barkley is forecasted by the predictive model to find himself in the 100th percentile when it comes to running backs with 2.9 targets. In regards to air yards, Saquon Barkley ranks in the lofty 98th percentile among RBs this year, totaling a massive 6.0 per game. (given that they are usually targeted behind the line of scrimmage, this is much more impressive than it sounds since most RBs average negative air yards). Saquon Barkley's 85.7% Adjusted Catch% this season signifies an impressive improvement in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 72.6% figure.

The Eagles have run the 5th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a staggering 59.4 plays per game. The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline. Jalen Hurts's passing precision has been refined this year, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 65.9% to 69.0%.

The Eagles have run the 5th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a staggering 59.4 plays per game. The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline. This week, Dallas Goedert is expected by the projections to slot into the 80th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 6.6 targets. As it relates to air yards, Dallas Goedert ranks in the lofty 88th percentile among TEs this year, accumulating a whopping 36.0 per game. Dallas Goedert's 50.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive volume) has been substantially higher this year than it was last year at 38.4.

The Eagles have run the 5th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a staggering 59.4 plays per game. The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline. The projections expect A.J. Brown to total 9.4 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 100th percentile among wideouts. A.J. Brown's 86.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially higher this season than it was last season at 77.6. A.J. Brown has been one of the most sure-handed receivers in the league, catching an excellent 71.2% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, grading out in the 77th percentile among wideouts.

At the present time, the 2nd-most pass-centric team in football (68.3% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Chiefs. At the present time, the 7th-fastest paced offense in football (context-neutralized) according to the model is the Chiefs. The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop-off. Patrick Mahomes has attempted 33.8 throws per game this year, grading out in the 82nd percentile among quarterbacks.

At the present time, the 2nd-most pass-centric team in football (68.3% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Chiefs. At the present time, the 7th-fastest paced offense in football (context-neutralized) according to the model is the Chiefs. The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop-off. Patrick Mahomes has attempted 33.8 throws per game this year, grading out in the 82nd percentile among quarterbacks. When talking about protecting the passer (and the positive impact it has on all pass attack metrics), the O-line of the Kansas City Chiefs grades out as the 5th-best in the league this year.

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Eagles to pass on 50.8% of their opportunities: the lowest clip among all teams this week. Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Philadelphia Eagles are anticipated by the predictive model to run just 66.5 total plays in this contest: the lowest number on the slate this week. This week, Jalen Hurts is projected by the model to wind up with the fewest pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 30.8. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.8 pass attempts per game versus the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year: 8th-fewest in football. In registering a mere 0.30 interceptions per game this year, Jalen Hurts places among the leading quarterbacks in football (85th percentile).

The Eagles have run the 5th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a staggering 59.4 plays per game. The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline.

At the present time, the 2nd-most pass-centric team in football (68.3% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Chiefs. At the present time, the 7th-fastest paced offense in football (context-neutralized) according to the model is the Chiefs. The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop-off. With an impressive 86.5% Route% (98th percentile) this year, Travis Kelce ranks as one of the TEs with the biggest workloads in football. The model projects Travis Kelce to total 8.9 targets in this contest, on balance, putting him in the 100th percentile among tight ends.

Opposing teams teams have been reluctant to test the pass defense of the Philadelphia Eagles, averaging the fewest attempts in football (a mere 26.4 per game) this year. The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has yielded the 5th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (61.3%) vs. wideouts this year (61.3%). The Philadelphia Eagles cornerbacks rank as the best unit in the league this year in defending receivers.

At the present time, the 2nd-most pass-centric team in football (68.3% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Chiefs. At the present time, the 7th-fastest paced offense in football (context-neutralized) according to the model is the Chiefs. The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop-off. Patrick Mahomes has attempted 33.8 throws per game this year, grading out in the 82nd percentile among quarterbacks. When talking about protecting the passer (and the positive impact it has on all pass attack metrics), the O-line of the Kansas City Chiefs grades out as the 5th-best in the league this year.

At the present time, the 2nd-most pass-centric team in football (68.3% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Chiefs. At the present time, the 7th-fastest paced offense in football (context-neutralized) according to the model is the Chiefs. The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop-off. Patrick Mahomes has attempted 33.8 throws per game this year, grading out in the 82nd percentile among quarterbacks. When talking about protecting the passer (and the positive impact it has on all pass attack metrics), the O-line of the Kansas City Chiefs grades out as the 5th-best in the league this year.

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Eagles to pass on 50.8% of their opportunities: the lowest clip among all teams this week. Right now, the least pass-oriented team in football in the red zone (43.6% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Eagles. Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Philadelphia Eagles are anticipated by the predictive model to run just 66.5 total plays in this contest: the lowest number on the slate this week. This week, Jalen Hurts is projected by the model to wind up with the fewest pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 30.8. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.8 pass attempts per game versus the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year: 8th-fewest in football.

The Eagles have run the 5th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a staggering 59.4 plays per game. The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline. In this week's game, Saquon Barkley is forecasted by the predictive model to find himself in the 100th percentile when it comes to running backs with 2.9 targets. Saquon Barkley's 85.7% Adjusted Catch% this season signifies an impressive improvement in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 72.6% figure.

At the present time, the 2nd-most pass-centric team in football (68.3% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Chiefs. At the present time, the 7th-fastest paced offense in football (context-neutralized) according to the model is the Chiefs. The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop-off. With an impressive 86.5% Route% (98th percentile) this year, Travis Kelce ranks as one of the TEs with the biggest workloads in football. The model projects Travis Kelce to total 8.9 targets in this contest, on balance, putting him in the 100th percentile among tight ends.

The Eagles have run the 5th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a staggering 59.4 plays per game. The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline. This week, Dallas Goedert is expected by the projections to slot into the 80th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 6.6 targets. Dallas Goedert's 50.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive volume) has been substantially higher this year than it was last year at 38.4. Dallas Goedert's receiving reliability have been refined this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate rising from 73.8% to 83.4%.

Opposing teams teams have been reluctant to test the pass defense of the Philadelphia Eagles, averaging the fewest attempts in football (a mere 26.4 per game) this year. The Eagles linebackers grade out as the 2nd-best LB corps in the NFL this year in defending pass-catchers.