Buffalo Bills

1st in AFC East (8 - 2 - 0)

Next Game

KCKansas City Kansas City Chiefs
at
Buffalo Bills BUFBuffalo
Sun, Nov 17 16:25 ET

Player Props

Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating
K. Hunt
running back RB • Kansas City
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.1
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection
2.1
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

The model projects this game to see the smallest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 124.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. The Bills pass defense has surrendered the 4th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (78.8%) versus running backs this year (78.8%).

Kareem Hunt

RB • KC @ BUF
Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2.1
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2.1

The model projects this game to see the smallest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 124.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. The Bills pass defense has surrendered the 4th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (78.8%) versus running backs this year (78.8%).

 All Matchup props
T. Kelce
tight end TE • Kansas City
Prop
6.5
Receptions Made
Projection
6.1
Best Odds
Under
-106

The model projects this game to see the smallest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 124.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. This year, the daunting Buffalo Bills defense has yielded a measly 73.6% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing TEs: the 9th-lowest rate in the league.

Travis Kelce

TE • KC @ BUF
Prop: 6.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 6.1
Prop:
6.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
6.1

The model projects this game to see the smallest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 124.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. This year, the daunting Buffalo Bills defense has yielded a measly 73.6% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing TEs: the 9th-lowest rate in the league.

 All Matchup props
D. Hopkins
wide receiver WR • Kansas City
Prop
4.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4.3
Best Odds
Under
-125

The model projects this game to see the smallest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 124.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. DeAndre Hopkins's 3.2 adjusted catches per game this year indicates a remarkable diminishment in his receiving prowess over last year's 4.4 rate.

DeAndre Hopkins

WR • KC @ BUF
Prop: 4.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4.3
Prop:
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4.3

The model projects this game to see the smallest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 124.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. DeAndre Hopkins's 3.2 adjusted catches per game this year indicates a remarkable diminishment in his receiving prowess over last year's 4.4 rate.

 All Matchup props

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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