Carolina Panthers

4th in NFC South (3 - 11 - 0)

Next Game

Sun, Dec 22 13:00 ET

Player Props

Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Trey McBride Receptions Made Props • Arizona

T. McBride
tight end TE • Arizona
Prop
6.5
Receptions Made
Projection
6.3
Best Odds
Under
+110

The Cardinals are a 4.5-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script. Our trusted projections expect the Arizona Cardinals to be the 7th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 52.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. The model projects this game to see the 4th-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 128.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. The 7th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Cardinals this year (just 55.6 per game on average). Opposing offenses teams have been afraid to test the pass defense of the Carolina Panthers, totaling the 8th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 32.6 per game) this year.

Trey McBride

Prop: 6.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 6.3
Prop:
6.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
6.3

The Cardinals are a 4.5-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script. Our trusted projections expect the Arizona Cardinals to be the 7th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 52.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. The model projects this game to see the 4th-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 128.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. The 7th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Cardinals this year (just 55.6 per game on average). Opposing offenses teams have been afraid to test the pass defense of the Carolina Panthers, totaling the 8th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 32.6 per game) this year.

All Matchup props

Chuba Hubbard Receptions Made Props • Carolina

C. Hubbard
running back RB • Carolina
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3.4
Best Odds
Over
-136
Prop
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection
3.4
Best Odds
Over
-136
Projection Rating

The Panthers are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script. The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, and reduced rush volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency. Chuba Hubbard has been more involved as a potential pass-catcher this season (60.5% Route Participation% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (42.6%). The projections expect Chuba Hubbard to earn 4.7 targets in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 94th percentile when it comes to RBs. The Cardinals pass defense has surrendered the 2nd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (91.9%) versus RBs this year (91.9%).

Chuba Hubbard

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 3.4
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
3.4

The Panthers are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script. The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, and reduced rush volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency. Chuba Hubbard has been more involved as a potential pass-catcher this season (60.5% Route Participation% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (42.6%). The projections expect Chuba Hubbard to earn 4.7 targets in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 94th percentile when it comes to RBs. The Cardinals pass defense has surrendered the 2nd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (91.9%) versus RBs this year (91.9%).

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James Conner Receptions Made Props • Arizona

J. Conner
running back RB • Arizona
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3.4
Best Odds
Under
-130

The Cardinals are a 4.5-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script. Our trusted projections expect the Arizona Cardinals to be the 7th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 52.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. The model projects this game to see the 4th-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 128.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. The 7th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Cardinals this year (just 55.6 per game on average). Opposing offenses teams have been afraid to test the pass defense of the Carolina Panthers, totaling the 8th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 32.6 per game) this year.

James Conner

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 3.4
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
3.4

The Cardinals are a 4.5-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script. Our trusted projections expect the Arizona Cardinals to be the 7th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 52.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. The model projects this game to see the 4th-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 128.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. The 7th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Cardinals this year (just 55.6 per game on average). Opposing offenses teams have been afraid to test the pass defense of the Carolina Panthers, totaling the 8th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 32.6 per game) this year.

All Matchup props

Adam Thielen Receptions Made Props • Carolina

A. Thielen
wide receiver WR • Carolina
Prop
5.5
Receptions Made
Projection
5.4
Best Odds
Under
-128

At the moment, the 9th-least pass-heavy team in the league (58.9% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Carolina Panthers. Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Panthers are anticipated by our trusted projection set to run only 63.9 plays on offense in this game: the 7th-fewest among all teams this week. The 3rd-fewest plays in the NFL have been run by the Panthers this year (just 54.4 per game on average). Adam Thielen has been a much smaller part of his team's air attack this year (20.1% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (26.7%). Adam Thielen's play as a receiver has diminished this year, totaling just 4.8 adjusted receptions vs 6.1 last year.

Adam Thielen

Prop: 5.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 5.4
Prop:
5.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
5.4

At the moment, the 9th-least pass-heavy team in the league (58.9% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Carolina Panthers. Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Panthers are anticipated by our trusted projection set to run only 63.9 plays on offense in this game: the 7th-fewest among all teams this week. The 3rd-fewest plays in the NFL have been run by the Panthers this year (just 54.4 per game on average). Adam Thielen has been a much smaller part of his team's air attack this year (20.1% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (26.7%). Adam Thielen's play as a receiver has diminished this year, totaling just 4.8 adjusted receptions vs 6.1 last year.

All Matchup props

Marvin Harrison Receptions Made Props • Arizona

M. Harrison
wide receiver WR • Arizona
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4
Best Odds
Over
-148

The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and lower ground volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency. The Carolina Panthers pass defense has been torched for the 6th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (68.6%) vs. wide receivers this year (68.6%). When it comes to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Carolina's safety corps has been dreadful this year, profiling as the 7th-worst in football.

Marvin Harrison

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4

The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and lower ground volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency. The Carolina Panthers pass defense has been torched for the 6th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (68.6%) vs. wide receivers this year (68.6%). When it comes to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Carolina's safety corps has been dreadful this year, profiling as the 7th-worst in football.

All Matchup props

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV
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