Cole Kmet Receptions Made Props • Chicago
The Bears are a 4.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to a running game script. Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Bears to pass on 54.9% of their chances: the 5th-lowest clip among all teams this week. The projections expect Cole Kmet to be a much smaller part of his offense's passing offense in this contest (10.0% projected Target Share) than he has been last year (20.6% in games he has played). When talking about pass protection (and the effect it has on all air attack statistics), the offensive line of the Chicago Bears profiles as the 9th-worst in the league last year.